SUR vs SUS Match Prediction, T20 Blast 2026
SURR vs SUSS Win Probability
67%
Surrey
33%
Sussex
Surrey To Win, 1.36
Surrey have been one of the strongest teams in the South Group this season.
The hosts possess greater depth with both bat and ball.
Sussex have relied heavily on a handful of players to produce match-winning performances.

SURR vs SUSS Betting Tips
Surrey Total Runs Before 1st Wicket ā Over 23.5 Runs
The opening partnership has consistently provided Surrey with positive starts this season. On a good batting surface, they have every chance of building another solid powerplay foundation.
Highest Individual Score ā Over 67.5 Runs
The Oval is traditionally one of the better batting venues in the Vitality Blast. Both teams possess aggressive top-order batters capable of converting starts into substantial innings, making this an attractive betting option.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Surrey
Sussex
Two of the South Group's strongest sides meet at the Kia Oval in what promises to be one of the standout Vitality Blast fixtures of the week. Surrey will be eager to strengthen their position near the top of the table, while Sussex know that a victory away from home would significantly boost their qualification hopes. With international-quality players featuring on both sides, fans can expect an entertaining contest.
Surrey vs Sussex Head-to-Head Record
Surrey have enjoyed the better record in recent Vitality Blast meetings, although Sussex have been competitive whenever these sides have met. Another closely contested encounter is expected.
SUR vs SUS Team Previews
Surrey
Surrey continue to demonstrate why they are among the favourites for this year's Vitality Blast. Even with several England internationals unavailable, they possess outstanding depth throughout their squad.
Jason Roy remains a dangerous player at the top of the order and will be expected to provide an explosive start alongside Laurie Evans. Dan Lawrence has become even more important in the middle order, bringing experience and the ability to accelerate against both pace and spin.
The lower middle order features Jordan Clark and Tom Curran, two proven all-rounders capable of changing matches with both bat and ball. Sean Abbott provides additional finishing power and remains one of the competition's most reliable seam-bowling all-rounders.
Surrey's bowling attack continues to be their greatest strength. Daniel Worrall and Reece Topley are capable of exploiting any early movement with the new ball, while Tom Curran and Jordan Clark offer excellent control during the middle and death overs.
Surrey Expected Playing 11
Jason Roy, Laurie Evans, Dan Lawrence, Ollie Pope (wk), Jordan Clark, Tom Curran, Sean Abbott, Adam Thomas, Reece Topley, Daniel Worrall, Yousef Majid
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Sussex
Sussex have found victories difficult to come by in recent weeks and have already been eliminated from quarter-final contention.
Daniel Hughes remains one of their most dependable top-order batters, while Harrison Ward and Tom Clark will need to provide a solid platform during the Powerplay. Jack Leaning and Fynn Hudson-Prentice add experience through the middle overs but consistency has been an issue.
The bowling attack is still capable of producing match-winning performances. Tymal Mills brings valuable experience with the new ball and at the death, while Brad Currie and Henry Crocombe offer useful pace options. Danny Briggs and Jack Carson provide spin options capable of slowing the scoring rate.
Sussex will need a complete team performance if they are to upset one of the strongest sides in the competition.
Sussex Expected Playing 11
Harrison Ward, Daniel Hughes, Tom Clark, Jack Leaning, Fynn Hudson-Prentice, Tom Alsop (wk), Danny Briggs, Jack Carson, Tymal Mills (c), Brad Currie, Henry Crocombe
SUR vs SUS Toss Prediction
The team winning the toss is likely to bowl first. Chasing has generally been the preferred option in evening Blast fixtures due to improved batting conditions under lights.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The Kia Oval traditionally produces an excellent batting surface with true pace and bounce. Fast bowlers can find some assistance during the opening overs before conditions become increasingly favourable for stroke-making.
The short straight boundaries encourage aggressive batting, and totals around 180-190 are often required to feel comfortable. Spinners who vary their pace effectively can still play an important role during the middle overs.
Weather forecasts suggest dry conditions with only a slight chance of interruption.
SUR vs SUS: Who Will Win?
Surrey look the stronger side despite missing several England internationals. Their batting still contains plenty of experience, while their bowling attack has enough quality to restrict Sussex's inconsistent batting line-up. Sussex have struggled for momentum over the past few matches and will need something special to overturn the favourites.
Bet on Surrey to win.

