HAM vs NOT Match Prediction, Semi Final 2, T20 Blast 2026
HAM vs NOT Win Probability
14%
Hampshire
86%
Nottinghamshire
Hampshire To Win, 1.77
Hampshire produced the most dominant quarter-final performance, thrashing Essex by 75 runs after posting 211/3.
The Hawks possess one of the competition's strongest pace attacks, led by Scott Currie and Sonny Baker, who have consistently struck with the new ball.
James Vince, Tristan Stubbs and Hilton Cartwright give Hampshire greater batting depth, while Nottinghamshire remain heavily dependent on Joe Clarke and George Munsey for momentum.

HAM vs NOT Betting Tips
Joe Clarke to score over 24.5 runs
Joe Clarke has been Nottinghamshire's most dependable batter throughout this year's T20 Blast. The captain has anchored several successful chases while maintaining an aggressive scoring rate, and his experience in pressure matches makes him one of the safest batting markets in this semi-final. If Clarke gets through the opening few overs, he has every chance of producing another match-winning innings.
Hampshire total over 49.5 runs in the first 6 overs
Hampshire have adopted an aggressive approach in the Powerplay throughout the tournament. James Vince, Toby Albert and Tristan Stubbs are all naturally attacking players capable of taking advantage of the fielding restrictions. On a typically excellent Edgbaston batting surface, backing Hampshire to make a fast start offers solid value.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Hampshire
Nottinghamshire
The second semi-final at Finals Day promises to be one of the matches of the tournament. Hampshire arrive full of confidence after dismantling Essex in the quarter-finals, while Nottinghamshire edged past Surrey in a tense contest to book their place at Edgbaston. Both sides possess explosive batting line-ups and quality pace attacks, making this a fascinating battle between two genuine title contenders.
Hampshire have looked increasingly complete as the competition has progressed. Their batting has found another gear over the past fortnight, while the bowling attack has consistently delivered wickets during the Powerplay and at the death. Nottinghamshire have shown tremendous resilience throughout the campaign, but Hampshire appear to have slightly more firepower across both departments heading into this knockout clash.
Hampshire vs Nottinghamshire Head-to-Head Record
Meetings between these counties have generally been closely contested over recent seasons, with neither side enjoying sustained dominance. Hampshire have enjoyed greater success in knockout cricket, while Nottinghamshire have often been competitive whenever their experienced top order has fired. Another closely fought contest is expected between two evenly matched teams.
HAM vs NOT Team Previews
Hampshire
Hampshire produced arguably the performance of the quarter-finals after piling up 211 runs before comfortably brushing aside Essex. Tristan Stubbs once again demonstrated why he is regarded as one of the most destructive overseas batters in county cricket, while Hilton Cartwright provided the perfect finishing touch with another explosive unbeaten innings. James Vince remains the heartbeat of this batting unit, and his ability to control the Powerplay often sets the tone for Hampshire's innings.
Their bowling attack has quietly become one of the most effective in the competition. Scott Currie has enjoyed an outstanding campaign and sits among the leading wicket-takers in this year's Blast, while Sonny Baker has developed into an excellent death-overs option. Liam Dawson continues to offer control through the middle overs, giving Hampshire a balanced attack capable of defending any total.
Hampshire Expected Playing 11
James Vince (C), Toby Albert, Joe Weatherley, Tristan Stubbs (WK), Hilton Cartwright, Liam Dawson, James Fuller, Scott Currie, Sonny Baker, Chris Wood, Eddie Jack
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Nottinghamshire
Nottinghamshire have enjoyed another impressive Blast campaign built around an aggressive top order and experienced bowling unit. Captain Joe Clarke continues to lead from the front, while George Munsey and Ben Duckett provide attacking options capable of changing a game within a few overs. George Linde and Benny Howell add valuable depth, ensuring Nottinghamshire bat well beyond the top five.
The bowling attack remains their biggest strength. Mohammad Amir, Dillon Pennington and Olly Stone provide genuine pace with the new ball, while George Linde and Farhan Ahmed offer quality spin through the middle overs. Nottinghamshire defended a modest total against Surrey in the quarter-finals thanks to disciplined bowling, but facing Hampshire's deeper batting line-up presents a much tougher challenge.
Nottinghamshire Expected Playing 11
Joe Clarke (C & WK), George Munsey, Ben Duckett, Jack Haynes, Lyndon James, George Linde, Benny Howell, Dillon Pennington, Olly Stone, Mohammad Amir, Farhan Ahmed
HAM vs NOT Toss Prediction
Edgbaston has generally favoured teams chasing under lights, particularly when dew arrives during the second innings. We expect the captain winning the toss to bowl first and back their batting line-up to chase.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
Edgbaston remains one of England's better batting venues for T20 cricket. The surface usually offers good pace and even bounce, allowing stroke-makers to play through the line with confidence. Fast bowlers can expect some movement during the opening overs before conditions become increasingly favourable for batting.
A first-innings score around 175 should be competitive, while anything above 190 will place significant pressure on the chasing side. The weather forecast looks excellent, with dry conditions expected throughout the evening.
HAM vs NOT : Who Will Win?
Both teams deserve their place on Finals Day, but Hampshire appear to have peaked at exactly the right time. Their emphatic quarter-final victory highlighted the depth in both their batting and bowling departments, and they look better equipped to handle the pressure of knockout cricket.
Nottinghamshire have enough quality to make this a close contest, particularly if Joe Clarke or George Munsey produce a substantial innings. However, Hampshire possess greater depth throughout the XI and a bowling attack that has consistently delivered in the biggest moments this season.
We are backing the Hawks to edge a high-quality semi-final and book their place in the T20 Blast final.
Bet on Hampshire to win.

