SUR vs HAM Match Prediction, T20 Blast 2026
SURR vs HAM Win Probability
63%
Surrey
37%
Hampshire
Hampshire To Win, 2.11
Hampshire have won four matches in a row and sit second in the South Group with 4 wins from 5 games and a net run rate of +0.971, while Surrey have 3 wins and 2 losses and are a step behind on the table.
Hampshire beat Surrey in their earlier South Group meeting this season, winning by 5 wickets, and also defeated strong sides like Essex and Sussex along the way, underlining their consistency.
Their batting depth, with Dawson, Stubbs and Cartwright all in form, plus a varied attack including Dawson, Wood and Lumsden, gives them more balanced resources than Surrey in pressure situations.
SURR vs HAM Betting Tips
James Vince to score over 24.5 runs
While Vince managed only 8 in his last outing, Hampshire’s captain remains central to their top‑order plans and is coming off a run of strong contributions across a four‑match winning streak that has lifted them to second in the South Group table. With Dawson, Stubbs and Cartwright firing behind him, Vince can play with freedom at the top, and his class and experience make a mid‑20s line a realistic target in what should be a high‑quality contest.
Ollie Pope to score over 27.5 runs
Ollie Pope enters this game in excellent touch after scoring an unbeaten 51 off 33 balls against Middlesex, guiding Surrey to an eight‑wicket win with 35 balls to spare at The Oval. Batting at No.3 with Jason Roy and Will Jacks providing brisk starts, Pope has both the form and role security to clear a line in the high‑20s if he gets any time at the crease on a familiar home surface.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Surrey
Hampshire
Surrey and Hampshire meet at the Kennington Oval in London for a marquee South Group clash in the 2026 Vitality Blast. Surrey come into this fixture after a dominant eight‑wicket win over Middlesex, where Roy, Jacks and Pope made light work of a 131‑run chase to get their campaign back on track.
Hampshire, meanwhile, are one of the form teams in the competition, having strung together four consecutive wins, the latest a 29‑run victory over Sussex built on Liam Dawson’s 52 and 3 for 20 and a powerful lower‑order finish.
Given Hampshire’s superior record so far, their recent win over Surrey and their all‑round balance, we give them a narrow edge in what should be a high‑intensity encounter at The Oval.
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Surrey vs Hampshire Head-to-Head Record
In the last five Vitality Blast meetings between Surrey and Hampshire, Surrey have won three and Hampshire have won two. Hampshire took the most recent clash by 5 wickets with 5 balls remaining, while Surrey’s wins have included a 69‑run hammering and two 5‑wicket victories, showing how evenly matched these sides have been in recent seasons.
Surrey vs Hampshire Live-streaming and Broadcast
Fans can catch the action live across the following regional networks:
- India: Sony Sports Network (TV) and Sony Liv (Streaming)
- UK: Sky Sports Cricket (TV), Sky Go / NOW (Streaming). Additionally, all non-televised matches are streamed live for free on the respective home counties' YouTube channels.
- USA: Willow TV (TV and Streaming)
- Pakistan, Bangladesh, and UAE: Usually, in regions without a dedicated television broadcast deal for the English domestic season, the matches are available via the individual counties' YouTube channels or via the ECB website.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbsports.com.
SUR vs HAM Team Previews
Surrey
Surrey snapped a two‑game losing run with a one‑sided win over Middlesex at The Oval, chasing 131 in just 14.1 overs. Their bowlers set up the victory by restricting Middlesex to 130 for 7, with Sean Abbott (2 for 16) and Jordan Clark (2 for 31) doing the bulk of the damage and Reece Topley and Tom Curran chipping in with key wickets.
The chase was then dominated by a fluent top order. Jason Roy struck 46 off 31 balls, Will Jacks added 24 off 17, and Ollie Pope anchored the innings with an unbeaten 51 from 33 deliveries, while captain Sam Curran chipped in with 7 not out to finish the job.
That combination of a powerful top three and a middle order featuring Dan Lawrence and Laurie Evans ensures Surrey have the batting to match any side, especially at home.
Surrey Expected Playing 11
Jason Roy, Will Jacks, Ollie Pope (wk), Sam Curran (c), Dan Lawrence, Laurie Evans, Adam Thomas, Tom Curran, Jordan Clark, Sean Abbott, Reece Topley
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Hampshire
Hampshire are on a roll, having beaten Sussex by 29 runs in their latest outing to record their fourth straight win in the South Group. After losing early wickets to slip to 42 for 4, they rebuilt superbly through Liam Dawson’s 52 off 35 and Tristan Stubbs’ 36 off 23, before Hilton Cartwright (24* off 17) and James Fuller (19* off 9) powered them to 173 for 6.
With the ball, Hampshire overcame an explosive start from Sussex openers Ward and Hughes by tightening the screws in the middle overs. Dawson completed a fine all‑round performance with 3 for 20, while Chris Wood (2 for 20), Fuller (2 for 37) and Manny Lumsden (2 for 26) combined to bowl Sussex out for 144 in 17.3 overs.
This blend of experienced campaigners and in‑form all‑rounders gives Hampshire a strong profile in both departments heading into The Oval clash.
Hampshire Expected Playing 11
Toby Albert (wk), James Vince (c), Joe Weatherley, Tom Prest, Liam Dawson, Tristan Stubbs, Hilton Cartwright, James Fuller, Scott Currie, Manny Lumsden, Chris Wood
SUR vs HAM Toss Prediction
The Oval has often favoured teams chasing, particularly under lights when the ball can skid on and stroke‑play becomes easier. Surrey used a chase successfully against Middlesex in their last home game, while Hampshire have shown they can defend totals, so the captain winning the toss may still prefer to field first and exploit any early assistance before trusting their batting depth in a chase.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The Kennington Oval surface played true and friendly for stroke‑makers in Surrey’s recent win over Middlesex, where 130 proved below par and Surrey overhauled the target with more than five overs remaining.
Expect another good batting wicket with value for shots, though the new ball should still offer enough movement for skillful seamers to stay in the game, especially in the powerplay.
SUR vs HAM : Who Will Win?
Surrey’s emphatic win over Middlesex showed they remain a major force in the South Group, but Hampshire’s body of work so far in this campaign is even more impressive, with four consecutive wins and a higher position on the table.
They already have a recent victory over Surrey this season and possess a deeper spread of in‑form all‑rounders led by Dawson and Stubbs, supported by a disciplined bowling attack. Taking all of that into account, we slightly favour the visitors to continue their winning run.
Bet on Hampshire to win.
