DUR vs YOR Match Prediction, T20 Blast 2026
DURH vs YOR Win Probability
45%
Durham
55%
Yorkshire
Durham To Win, 1.95
Durham have won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head matches, including wins by 63 runs and 28 runs.
Alex Lees scored 54 off 28 and 45 off 26 in Durham’s last two matches and is in great form.
The odds available for Durham make it worth the risk to back it.
DURH vs YOR Betting Tips
Moeen Ali to Score Over 22.5 Runs
Moeen Ali top-scored for Yorkshire with a blazing 51 off 35 balls against Derbyshire, showing he is in exceptional form. As Yorkshire's most destructive middle-order bat, he could be promoted and play a key role against Durham's spin-heavy attack (Sowter, Parkinson). His ability to attack spin makes him a strong candidate for a big score.
Total Runs First Inning - Over 170.5
Both teams have been batting at high run rates in this tournament. Durham posted 150 in just 14 overs against Leicestershire, while Yorkshire chased 195 against Derbyshire, demonstrating both sides' explosive batting lineups. Riverside is a ground known for producing high-scoring T20 matches, and with both teams boasting in-form top orders, a big first innings total is well on the cards.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Durham
Yorkshire
Durham host Yorkshire at Banks Homes Riverside with both teams entering off early wins this season. Durham have two straight victories in the current cycle, including a 6-wicket chase against Leicestershire and a 6-run defense against Derbyshire.
Yorkshire also started strong with back-to-back wins over Derbyshire and Nottinghamshire. Form lines point to a high-intensity North Group clash where powerplay batting and death bowling will decide markets.
Durham vs Yorkshire Head-to-Head Record
Durham has won three out of the previous five matches with one being a no-result. That is a significantly dominant record over Yorkshire.
DUR vs YOR Team Previews
Durham
Durham’s top order looks settled. Alex Lees smashed 54 off 28 and 45 off 26 in the last two matches. Graham Clark hit 62 off 26 against Leicestershire after 21 off 19 at Derby. That pair has set fast starts which is a big advantage for Durham. Matthew Potts provides wicket-taking bite with 3 wickets in the latest game and 1 in the Derbyshire win. Ben Raine chipped in with 2 wickets against Derbyshire and added late-order runs across recent seasons.
The middle order has not been stretched yet, but depth exists. Ben Raine and Matthew Potts have both contributed cameos, with Potts striking 17 off 7 in last year’s run. Nathan Sowter’s leg spin brings control after mid-innings, with wickets in each of his last three recorded appearances. Kasey Aldridge has taken a wicket in both 2026 matches, adding handy lower-order runs at Derby. Durham’s blueprint is clear: fast starts from Lees and Clark, backed by wicket bursts from Potts and Raine.
Durham Expected Playing 11
Colin Ackermann, Kasey Aldridge, David Bedingham, Graham Clark, Alex Lees (c), Callum Parkinson, Matthew Potts, Ben Raine, Will Rhodes, Oliver Robinson (wk), Nathan Sowter
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Yorkshire
Yorkshire’s top order has mixed returns, but the intent is clear. Adam Lyth blasted 31 off 11 in the latest win, setting tempo. The chase against Nottinghamshire was anchored by a 7-wicket margin, while Derbyshire was defeated by 2 wickets as Andrew Tye and Hasan Ali provided clutch lower-order hitting.
Dom Bess delivered with the ball against Nottinghamshire, taking 2 wickets, and has added useful runs as well.
Death-overs experience is a plus for Yorkshire also. Andrew Tye took a wicket in each 2026 game and struck 32 off 13 in the tight Derbyshire finish. Hasan Ali also closed with 31 off 12 and a wicket in the same match.
Yorkshire’s edge lies in their finishing power and variety through pace and spin.
Yorkshire Expected Playing 11
Jonny Bairstow (c & wk), Adam Lyth, William Luxton, James Wharton, Moeen Ali, Matthew Revis, George Hill, Dom Bess, Andrew Tye, Hasan Ali, Jafer Chohan.
DUR vs YOR Toss Prediction
We expect the captain winning the toss to field first. Early Riverside conditions often aid seamers, and both teams have has success chasing, with Yorkshire winning by 7 wickets against Nottinghamshire and Durham chasing down Leicestershire by 6 wickets.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
Banks Homes Riverside typically offers new-ball movement with decent carry before easing for strokeplay. Expect early seam for wicket-taking quicks, with leg spin finding grip later. A realistic par score sits around the mid-160s, with 175 potentially match-winning if powerplays are controlled.
DUR vs YOR: Who Will Win?
We lean towards Durham due to sharper top-order form and a dominant head-to-head trend. Alex Lees and Graham Clark are in rhythm, while Matthew Potts and Ben Raine give Durham better new-ball control. Yorkshire’s batting is strong, but Durham’s powerplay advantage tilts it. Pro Tip: Back the highest opening partnership market to favor Durham with Lees and Clark in strong touch.
Bet on Durham to win.
