DUR vs NOT Match Prediction, T20 Blast 2026
Nottinghamshire To Win, 1.71
Nottinghamshire have already beaten Durham convincingly this season
Nottinghamshire come into this fixture with better overall form and more proven match-winners in their batting unit
Durham will look to use home conditions to their advantage but we think it lacks power in its setup
DURH vs NOT Betting Tips
Durham total team runs under 164.5
Durham have struggled to post big totals against disciplined bowling, and their earlier meeting with Nottinghamshire this season highlighted that weakness when they were restricted to a modest 156. If Nottinghamshire again hit their lengths and use the variations that worked so well in that game, Durham could find themselves contained below this runs mark.
Nottinghamshire to score over 46.5 runs in the first 6 overs
Nottinghamshire have already shown in this Blast that their top order can dominate Durham’s attack, as seen in their comfortable chase of 156 where the innings was controlled from the front. With stroke-makers who naturally play at a high tempo, backing them to clear a mid-40s line in the powerplay is a logical way to ride their batting strength.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Durham
Nottinghamshire
Durham return to Banks Homes Riverside seeking a response after a five-wicket defeat to Yorkshire. Their recent run has been mixed, but Alex Lees’ form gives the hosts a scoring platform at the top.
Nottinghamshire arrive in strong touch with five straight wins, including a one-run thriller over Lancashire. Momentum and a balanced attack have underpinned their surge.
Durham vs Nottinghamshire Head-to-Head Record
Across the last five completed meetings on record here, the rivalry sits level overall with two wins each and one abandoned game. Durham claimed the earlier pair at home by 49 and 30 runs, but Nottinghamshire have swung the recent trend their way with back-to-back victories, including the six-wicket result on May 31, 2026.
DUR vs NOT Team Previews
Durham
Durham’s batting hinges on Alex Lees, who smashed 108 off 64 against Middlesex and followed with 73 off 35 versus Yorkshire. Graham Clark and Ben McKinney offer fast starts, with Clark hitting 49 off 29 against Lancashire and McKinney striking 42 off 21 against Yorkshire.
The bowling unit has wicket-takers across phases. Matthew Potts bagged 3 wickets against Middlesex and added 2 versus Nottinghamshire. Ben Raine has delivered bursts with 3 wickets against Middlesex and 2 versus Northamptonshire. Kasey Aldridge has been consistent through the middle, taking 3 against Middlesex and wickets in each of the other recent outings.
Durham Expected Playing 11
Alex Lees (C), Graham Clark, Ben McKinney, Will Rhodes, Ben Raine, Kasey Aldridge, Nathan Sowter, Matthew Potts, Shafiqullah Ghafari, Sam Conners, Ben Stokes (WK)
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Nottinghamshire
Nottinghamshire’s form line is emphatic with five wins on the spin. George Linde has provided decisive middle-overs runs, striking 55 off 22 against Leicestershire and 37 off 24 against Lancashire. Joe Clarke chipped in with 42 off 22 against Leicestershire, while Jack Haynes’ 50 off 36 versus Derbyshire shows stability in the top order.
The attack looks incisive. Mohammad Ali has been relentless with 3-fors against Leicestershire, Derbyshire, and another three-wicket haul in the early season win, plus 2 against Kent. Benny Howell has contributed regularly across phases, including 2 wickets against Birmingham Bears and 1 in each of the last two outings. Linde adds control with a wicket in four of the last five.
Nottinghamshire Expected Playing 11
Joe Clarke (WK), Jack Haynes, George Linde, Benny Howell, Mohammad Ali, Ben Duckett, Haseeb Hameed, Brett Hutton, Farhan Ahmed, Lyndon James, James Hayes (C)
DUR vs NOT Toss Prediction
At Banks Homes Riverside, captains often prefer chasing when cloud cover lingers to exploit any movement. We expect the toss-winner to bowl first and track a target.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
Banks Homes Riverside usually offers new-ball assistance with decent pace early before settling for stroke play. With recent Blast scores trending high across venues, a par total here should sit around the 165–175 range if batting first.
DUR vs NOT: Who Will Win?
We give Nottinghamshire the edge based on sustained form and better recent head-to-head momentum. Their middle-order hitting and Mohammad Ali’s wicket-taking thrust match well against Durham’s top-heavy lineup. Durham need Alex Lees to fire again to level the contest. Our pick is Nottinghamshire to win. Pro Tip: Back Mohammad Ali in the top Nottinghamshire bowler market given his run of three-wicket hauls.
Bet on Nottinghamshire to win.
