WI vs NZ Match Prediction : 4th ODI, New Zealand tour of West Indies 2026
WI vs NZ Win Probability
38%
WI
62%
NZ
New Zealand To Win, 1.52
Eight of the last nine ODIs at Kensington Oval have been won by the team chasing. The toss could be crucial.
New Zealand have won each of their last two ODI matches at this venue.
The Black Caps have consistently outperformed the West Indies with the ball throughout this series.

WI vs NZ Betting Tips
New Zealand total runs before the fall of the 1st wicket – Over 25.5
Henry Nicholls and Will Young have provided New Zealand with solid platforms throughout this series. The pair have put together opening stands of at least 35 runs in each of the last three ODIs, allowing the middle order to build on strong starts. With both batters growing in confidence, we expect another productive opening partnership in Bridgetown.
Total Match Runs – Under 481.5
Kensington Oval has consistently produced balanced contests where bowlers remain firmly in the game. Only two of the last ten ODIs played at this venue have produced an aggregate score exceeding 481 runs. Given the assistance available for both seamers and spinners, another relatively low-scoring encounter looks the most likely outcome.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
West Indies
N/A
New Zealand
N/A
New Zealand are now just one victory away from sealing the five-match ODI series after producing back-to-back clinical performances against the West Indies. The fourth ODI takes place on Sunday at Kensington Oval in Bridgetown, where the visitors will look to continue their dominance and wrap up the series with a game to spare.
The West Indies made the perfect start by winning the opening match but have struggled to maintain that momentum. Their batting has repeatedly failed to capitalise on promising positions, while New Zealand's disciplined bowling attack has controlled the middle overs and restricted scoring opportunities. Unless the hosts produce a much-improved all-round display, the visitors will begin this match as deserved favourites.
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West Indies vs New Zealand Head-to-Head Record
New Zealand have dominated this rivalry in recent years, winning eight of the last ten One-Day Internationals between the two sides. The West Indies have managed only two victories during that period and will need to reverse a worrying trend if they are to keep the series alive.
West Indies vs New Zealand Live-streaming and Broadcast
Fans can follow the opening ODI through the following official broadcasters:
- United Kingdom: TNT Sports (TV & Streaming)
- India: FanCode (Streaming)
- West Indies: ESPN Caribbean (TV)
- New Zealand: TVNZ+ (Streaming)
- Pakistan: Tapmad (Streaming)
- Bangladesh: T Sports (TV)
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbsports.com.
WI vs SL Team Previews
West Indies
The West Indies have let a promising start to the series slip away and now face a must-win encounter to stay alive. While there have been encouraging individual performances, the hosts have struggled to produce complete team displays over the last two matches.
The batting has lacked consistency. Keacy Carty and Shai Hope have been the only players to register meaningful scores, while John Campbell and Ackeem Auguste have failed to convert promising starts into substantial innings. Shimron Hetmyer, Sherfane Rutherford and Keemo Paul all possess the ability to change a game, but none have managed to deliver when the team has needed them most. Unless the middle order produces a far stronger performance, the West Indies will once again find themselves under pressure.
The spin trio of Gudakesh Motie, Khary Pierre and Vitel Lawes has been one of the few bright spots, sharing 13 wickets between them during the series. However, the pace attack has lacked support for Alzarri Joseph, leaving the bowling unit too reliant on one strike bowler. A stronger performance from the seamers will be essential if the hosts are to level the series.
West Indies Expected Playing 11
John Campbell, Ackeem Auguste, Shai Hope (C), Keacy Carty, Sherfane Rutherford, Shimron Hetmyer, Keemo Paul, Gudakesh Motie, Khary Pierre, Vitel Lawes, Alzarri Joseph
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New Zealand
New Zealand have looked increasingly impressive as the series has progressed and fully deserve their 2-1 lead. Their bowlers have dictated proceedings, while the batting unit has repeatedly chased down targets with composure and discipline.
The bowling attack has been the biggest difference between the two sides. Jayden Lennox has enjoyed an outstanding series with ten wickets in just three matches and continues to trouble the West Indies batters with his variation and control. Mitchell Santner and Michael Bracewell have provided excellent support through the middle overs, while Jacob Duffy and Nathan Smith have consistently asked questions with the new ball.
The batting unit has quietly gone about its business. Henry Nicholls and Will Young have established solid opening partnerships in each of the last three matches, allowing experienced campaigners Daryl Mitchell, Mark Chapman and Tom Latham to build substantial innings. With contributions coming from throughout the lineup, New Zealand appear to have a far more balanced batting unit than their opponents.
New Zealand Expected Playing 11
Henry Nicholls, Will Young, Mark Chapman, Daryl Mitchell, Tom Latham (WK), Dean Foxcroft, Michael Bracewell, Mitchell Santner (C), Jayden Lennox, Jacob Duffy, Nathan Smith
WI vs NZ Toss Prediction
The captain winning the toss is expected to bowl first. Kensington Oval has consistently favoured chasing sides, with the pitch becoming easier to bat on during the second innings and dew often helping the team batting second.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
Kensington Oval generally offers assistance to the fast bowlers early in the innings, with good pace and carry available under overcast conditions. Batters who survive the new-ball spell usually find stroke-making easier as the match progresses, although the surface rarely becomes a batting paradise.
The average first-innings score across the last ten ODIs is around 205, but teams will be aiming for 260-270 to feel secure. Warm, humid conditions are expected, with cloud cover likely throughout the day.
WI vs NZ : Who Will Win?
New Zealand have controlled the series over the last two matches thanks to a disciplined bowling attack and a batting lineup that has consistently built partnerships. Every department has contributed at crucial moments, making the visitors the more complete side heading into the fourth ODI.
The West Indies certainly have enough talent to push New Zealand, particularly on home soil, but they have been unable to string together complete performances. Unless their experienced batters deliver collectively and the pace attack provides greater support to Alzarri Joseph, they may once again struggle against a confident Black Caps side.
Bet on New Zealand to win.

