IPL 2026

Bangladesh

New Zealand

265/8 in 50.0

210/10 in 44.5

Bangladesh won by 55 runs

Apr 23, 202605:00 AM• 3rd MatchBir Sreshtho Flight Lieutenant Matiur Rahman Stadium, Chattogram - Bangladesh, Bangladesh

Bangladesh won by 55 runs

BAN vs NZ Match Prediction : 3rd Match, New Zealand tour of Bangladesh, 2026

BAN vs NZ Win Probability

60%

Bangladesh

40%

New Zealand

Bangladesh To Win, 1.55

Bangladesh may have lost its first match but it is incredibly difficult to beat at home, as it showed in the second ODI

NZ's batting is fragile and quickly find itself under pressure on some difficult to score wickets

Bangladesh's bowling has improved quite a lot and its batting is also dangerous

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Place Bet â–º odds 1.55

BAN vs NZ Betting Tips

The first ball of the match to be a dot ball

Unlike the frantic pace of T20 cricket, the ODI format gives opening batters the luxury of time. Expect the openers to play the first delivery cautiously to assess the pitch conditions and early swing, making a dot ball a highly probable outcome to start the match.

The mode of first dismissal of the first innings to be caught in the field

With fielding restrictions in place during the powerplay, opening batters frequently try to hit over the infield to maximize the scoring rate. This aggressive approach often leads to mistimed aerial shots, making a catch the most likely mode for the first wicket.

Team form (Last 5 matches)

Bangladesh

L
W
W

New Zealand

W
L
L

The New Zealand men's team is currently in Bangladesh for a highly competitive white-ball tour. With the ODI series perfectly poised at a 1-1 tie, the deciding third match takes place at the Bir Sreshtho Flight Lieutenant Matiur Rahman Stadium in Chattogram on 23 April 2026. Below, we break down the betting tips, team previews, and pitch conditions for this series finale.

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Bangladesh vs New Zealand Head-to-Head Record

These two nations have faced each other 46 times in ODI cricket. Historically, New Zealand has dominated the matchup with 34 victories, while Bangladesh has secured 11 wins. However, the gap narrows significantly when playing in Bangladeshi conditions.

Bangladesh vs New Zealand Live-streaming and Broadcast

Fans can catch the action live across the following regional networks:

  • Bangladesh: T Sports, GTV, and BTV (TV); Rabbitholebd and Toffee (Streaming)
  • New Zealand: Sky Sport NZ (TV); Sky Sport Now and Rabbitholebd Sports YouTube (Streaming)
  • India: FanCode (Streaming only)
  • Pakistan: Ten Sports Pakistan and PTV Sports (TV); Tapmad TV and Tamasha (Streaming)
  • UAE: CricLife channels (TV); Starzplay (Streaming)
  • USA: Willow TV (TV); Willow TV App, Sling TV, and ESPN+ (Streaming)

You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbsports.com.

BAN vs NZ Team Previews

Bangladesh

Bangladesh enters this series decider with plenty of confidence after a dominant six-wicket victory in the second ODI, bouncing back brilliantly from an opening-game defeat. Their bowling unit was sensational, skittling New Zealand for just 198 runs. Fast bowler Nahid Rana was the chief destroyer, bagging a stunning five-wicket haul (5 for 32) in his ten overs.

The chase was equally clinical. Bangladesh chased down the target in just 35.5 overs, heavily relying on Tanzid Hasan, who smashed 76 off just 58 deliveries. Captain Najmul Hossain Shanto also looked in excellent touch, scoring a fluent half-century before retiring hurt.

Towhid Hridoy anchors the middle order, boasting an impressive average of 40.18 over his last 13 games. On the bowling front, leg-spinner Rishad Hossain has been a consistent wicket-taker, claiming 21 dismissals in his last 10 outings. Along with veteran Mehidy Hasan Miraz, the spin attack will be crucial in restricting the Kiwi batters on this Chattogram surface.

Bangladesh Expected Playing 11

Saif Hassan, Tanzid Hasan, Najmul Hossain Shanto, Litton Das (wk), Towhid Hridoy, Soumya Sarkar, Mehidy Hasan Miraz (c), Rishad Hossain, Shoriful Islam, Taskin Ahmed, Nahid Rana.

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New Zealand

New Zealand started the tour exactly as they planned, taking the first match, but they were completely outplayed by the hosts in the second. Now, they must regroup quickly to avoid a disappointing series defeat.

Their last outing exposed a fragile batting order. After being bowled out for 198, the only saving grace was Nick Kelly, who played a lone hand with a gritty 83. The rest of the lineup crumbled against Bangladesh's pace and spin. Will Young and Henry Nicholls will need to step up dramatically at the top of the order. Young has struggled recently, averaging just 17.6 in his last 10 matches, while Nicholls averages 30.6 over his previous five.

The Kiwi bowlers fought hard but simply didn't have enough runs to defend. Jayden Lennox was the pick of the attack with two wickets for 36 runs. Fast bowler Blair Tickner remains their biggest threat, having taken 13 wickets in his last five matches, while Nathan Smith offers solid support.

New Zealand Expected Playing 11

Henry Nicholls, Nick Kelly, Will Young, Tom Latham (wk/c), Muhammad Abbas, Dean Foxcroft, Josh Clarkson, Nathan Smith, Blair Tickner, Jayden Lennox, William O'Rourke

BAN vs NZ Toss Prediction

The Bir Sreshtho Flight Lieutenant Matiur Rahman Stadium has hosted 31 ODIs, with a strong bias toward the chasing team. Sides batting second have won 20 matches, compared to just 11 wins for teams setting a target. Given this history, the captain who wins the toss is highly likely to bowl first.

Pitch Report and Weather Conditions

The Chattogram pitch is generally a fantastic batting surface, but it offers a bit of everything. Fast bowlers can expect some seam movement with the new ball early in the morning, while spinners will find more grip and turn as the match progresses into the afternoon. Weather-wise, expect hot and sunny conditions with occasional cloud cover, ensuring a full, uninterrupted 100-over contest.

BAN vs NZ : Who Will Win?

After a crushing win in the second ODI, Bangladesh has seized the momentum and rightfully stepped into the role of favorites for this decider. Their bowling attack looks lethal in home conditions, and their top order is firing aggressively. While New Zealand certainly possesses the talent to bounce back, their over-reliance on a few key batters makes them vulnerable against a confident home side.

Bet on Bangladesh to win.

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Bangladesh To Win, 1.55

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Place Bet â–º odds 1.55