YOR vs SOM Match Prediction, Quarter Final 3, T20 Blast 2026
YOR vs SOM Win Probability
45%
Yorkshire
55%
Somerset
Somerset To Win, 1.89
Somerset have won four of their last five T20 Blast matches and head into the knockout stages with plenty of confidence.
Will Smeed has been one of the tournament's most consistent batters, scoring 52, 46, 89 and 48 in his last four innings.
Somerset have won four of the last five meetings against Yorkshire, giving them the stronger recent head-to-head record.
YOR vs SOM Betting Tips
Will Smeed to score over 24.5 runs
Will Smeed has been Somerset's standout batter in recent weeks, scoring 52, 46, 89 and 48 in his last four innings. His aggressive approach during the powerplay makes him one of the most reliable batting markets in this fixture, especially against a Yorkshire attack that will rely heavily on its new-ball bowlers.
Yorkshire to score under 49.5 runs in the first six overs
Somerset's pace attack has consistently made early breakthroughs throughout the tournament. Daniel Sams, Riley Meredith and Jake Ball have controlled the powerplay well, while Yorkshire are heavily dependent on Adam Lyth for quick starts. If Lyth falls early, Yorkshire could struggle to reach the 50-run mark inside the first six overs.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Yorkshire
Somerset
Yorkshire host Somerset at Headingley in the Vitality T20 Blast with both sides hitting the business end of the group phase in contrasting but compelling form lines. Yorkshire have pieced together a resilient run, taking three wins and a tie in their last five, and arrive off an 18‑run victory over Nottinghamshire that underlined their growing confidence at home.
Somerset, meanwhile, are surging. They have won four of their last five, including a 78‑run hammering of Worcestershire last time out. With both teams pushing to solidify knockout ambitions, this clash feels like a yardstick game for Yorkshire’s credentials against one of the form outfits in the competition.
Yorkshire vs Somerset Head-to-Head Record
Somerset have enjoyed the upper hand in recent meetings, winning four of the last five clashes against Yorkshire. Their recent dominance has come through strong batting displays and disciplined bowling, although knockout cricket often resets momentum. Yorkshire will take confidence from playing at Headingley, but Somerset's recent record gives them a slight psychological advantage heading into this quarter-final.
YOR vs SOM Team Previews
Yorkshire
Yorkshire’s batting has been powered by Adam Lyth’s purple patch. The left‑hander blasted 131 off 63 against Leicestershire and backed it up with 52 off 27 versus Nottinghamshire, giving them rapid starts and freeing up the middle to play situationally. Supporting hands have been shorter in length but impactful, with Andrew Tye’s 29 off 14 against Lancashire hinting at valuable late‑order punch when required.
With the ball, Yorkshire look far more rounded than earlier in the season. Hasan Ali has delivered consistent breakthroughs, taking 2, 1, 4, 3 and 3 wickets across his last five outings, while Tye is in wicket‑taking rhythm with 3, 0, 4, 2 and 3 in his last five. Dom Bess chipped in with a wicket against Nottinghamshire and Daniel Moriarty’s inclusion has added a left‑arm spin angle. If Yorkshire’s seam pair strike early, their spinners can control the middle and make totals of 170+ very defendable at home.
Yorkshire Expected Playing 11
Adam Lyth, Harry Brook, Finlay Bean, George Hill, Dom Bess, Daniel Moriarty, Andrew Tye, Hasan Ali, Harry Duke (WK), Ben Coad, Adil Rashid
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Somerset
Somerset’s top order has found a strong gear. Will Smeed’s run of 52 (31), 46 (20), 89 (51) and 48 (31) across his last four knocks has repeatedly set commanding platforms, while Tom Kohler‑Cadmore has offered brisk support with back‑to‑back contributions of 38 and 39 during this stretch. Lewis Gregory’s 28 off 16 against Worcestershire highlighted depth and finishing potential when the openers hand over momentum.
Their bowling has been the driver of a four‑wins‑in‑five surge. Daniel Sams has taken 3, 3, 0 and 2 wickets in his last four, often impacting at key phases, while Riley Meredith’s 3‑for against Worcestershire and consistent strikes since then keep pressure at the top and death. Jake Ball has added control with wickets in three straight appearances earlier in the run, and Jack Leach’s 3 wickets in the latest win add a spin dimension. If Somerset’s quicks hit the hard lengths they’ve nailed lately, they can boss both powerplays.
Somerset Expected Playing 11
Will Smeed, Tom Kohler Cadmore, Thomas Abell, Lewis Gregory (C), Daniel Sams, Tom Lammonby, Kian Roberts, Riley Meredith, Jake Ball, Jack Leach, Josh Shaw
YOR vs SOM Toss Prediction
Headingley has generally rewarded teams that bowl first in T20 cricket, particularly when there is early movement under cloudy skies. Seamers are likely to get assistance with the new ball before conditions become more favourable for batting. We expect the captain winning the toss to field first and look to chase under the lights.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
Headingley traditionally offers good pace and bounce, making it one of England's better batting venues once the new ball is negotiated. Fast bowlers should enjoy some movement during the opening overs, while spinners are likely to play a containing role through the middle stages.
A first-innings score in the region of 170-180 should be competitive, although anything above 185 will put significant pressure on the chasing side. The forecast suggests cool conditions with a chance of cloud cover but no significant threat of rain.
YOR vs SOM: Who Will Win?
Somerset arrive with stronger recent form and a punchier bowling unit, while Yorkshire lean on home familiarity and the Lyth‑powered starts. Somerset’s batting has deeper current output through Smeed and a reliable pace rotation led by Sams and Meredith, which suits overcast Leeds conditions. Yorkshire’s new‑ball pairing can keep them right in it, but Somerset’s four wins in five and a 78‑run statement last game tilt the scales slightly their way.
Pro Tip: Back Will Smeed to score 20+ given his sequence of 52, 46, 89 and 48 in his last four knocks.
Bet on Somerset to win.
