NOT vs WAR Match Prediction, T20 Blast 2026

Nottinghamshire host Birmingham Bears (Warwickshire) at Trent Bridge, Nottingham in a cross‑pool Vitality Blast 2026 fixture. Notts arrive on the back of their first win of the season, a six‑wicket victory over Durham in which Munsey’s unbeaten 88 and a disciplined bowling effort finally aligned.

Birmingham Bears, meanwhile, are under pressure after a fourth straight defeat, most recently failing to defend 208 against Northamptonshire despite Webster’s near‑hundred.

With form trending upwards for the hosts and the Bears still searching for balance, we lean towards Nottinghamshire edging this contest at home.

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Nottinghamshire vs Birmingham Bears Head-to-Head Record

The recent head‑to‑head between these sides has been evenly poised. In the last five meetings, Nottinghamshire have won the two most recent games – by 6 wickets (off the final ball) and by 7 wickets – while Birmingham Bears won the three before that, including victories by 9 wickets, 22 runs and 2 wickets.

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NOT vs WAR Team Previews

Nottinghamshire

Nottinghamshire’s campaign finally sparked into life with a comfortable six‑wicket win over Durham in their most recent outing at Trent Bridge. Bowling first, Notts restricted Durham to 156 for 8, with George Linde (2 for 19), Mohammad Ali (2 for 35), Olly Stone (2 for 25) and Dillon Pennington (1 for 24) sharing the wickets in a much more disciplined display than earlier in the tournament.

Chasing 157, Munsey took control from the top, smashing 88 not out from 52 balls with nine fours and three sixes, and ensuring the required rate was never an issue. Joe Clarke, Jack Haynes and Freddie McCann all chipped in double‑figure scores as Notts got home in 17.2 overs.

With Munsey and Clarke providing aggression up front, Haynes and McCann adding stability, and Linde and Howell offering all‑round options, Nottinghamshire now have a balanced XI that can build on that first win.

Nottinghamshire Expected Playing 11

George Munsey, Joe Clarke (c), Jack Haynes, Freddie McCann, Tom Moores (wk), George Linde, Benny Howell, Joe Pocklington, Olly Stone, Dillon Pennington, Mohammad Ali

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Birmingham Bears

Birmingham Bears’ latest outing at Edgbaston underlined both their batting power and their bowling issues as they fell to a six‑wicket defeat against Northamptonshire. After losing Rob Yates early, they surged to 208 for 7 thanks to Zen Malik’s 24 off 10, Beau Webster’s superb 97 off 56 balls (with 10 fours and 5 sixes) and captain Ed Barnard’s 40 off 25, with Jordan Thompson adding a brisk 15.

Defending 209, however, the Bears were taken apart by Chris Lynn’s unbeaten 115 from 59 balls as Northants chased the target with four balls to spare. None of the Warwickshire bowlers were able to contain him; Woakes, Hannon‑Dalby and Barnard all went for more than 10 an over, while only Thompson (2 for 39) and Usman Tariq (1 for 28) found any success.

With four losses from four group games and the bowling leaking over 10 runs an over in multiple matches, Warwickshire need rapid improvement if they are to contend with a resurgent Notts at Trent Bridge.

Birmingham Bears Expected Playing 11

Zen Malik, Rob Yates, Beau Webster, Sam Hain, Ed Barnard (c), Jordan Thompson, Chris Woakes, Kai Smith (wk), Tazeem Chaudry Ali, Oliver Hannon‑Dalby, Usman Tariq

NOT vs WAR Toss Prediction

Trent Bridge is traditionally a high‑scoring ground where teams often prefer to chase, taking advantage of the quick outfield and short boundaries once they know the target. Nottinghamshire successfully chased against Durham in their last match here after opting to field, so whichever captain wins the toss is likely to choose bowling first again, trusting their batting depth to handle a scoreboard later on.

Pitch Report and Weather Conditions

The pitch at Trent Bridge offered good pace and carry in Nottinghamshire’s win over Durham, with 156 proving slightly under‑par as Notts overhauled it in 17.2 overs at over nine runs an over. Expect another batting‑friendly surface with plenty of value for strokes, though the new ball should still give seamers enough assistance to threaten early.

With both sides fielding aggressive top orders, a first‑innings score in the 170–185 range looks likely if conditions remain similar.

NOT vs WAR : Who Will Win?

Nottinghamshire finally have points on the board and did so with a convincing all‑round performance at home, suggesting they are beginning to settle their combination after a poor start. Birmingham Bears, by contrast, have lost all four of their group games and continue to struggle with the ball, even when their batting produces imposing totals.

Given Munsey’s form, a more balanced attack and the advantage of playing at Trent Bridge, Nottinghamshire look the slightly safer pick.

Bet on Nottinghamshire to win.