NOT vs DUR Match Prediction, T20 Blast 2026
NOT vs DURH Win Probability
50%
NOT
50%
DURH
Durham To Win, 1.90
Nottinghamshire have lost four of their last five completed matches, including defeats to Derbyshire, Lancashire, Yorkshire and Worcestershire, and look short on confidence.
Durham are in much better touch, with three wins in their last four games and only one recent defeat, that coming against an in-form Yorkshire side.
· Durham’s bowling unit has been more disciplined and their batting more reliable, while Notts have leaked 230+ and 200+ totals and struggled to close out chases.
NOT vs DURH Betting Tips
Alex Hales to score over 27.5 runs
Alex Hales was one of Nottinghamshire’s few positives in their heavy loss to Derbyshire, scoring a fluent 44 off 23 balls at the top of the order in a chase of 235. Even though Notts fell 23 runs short, Hales showed he is still capable of rapid starts, and with the side desperate for a response after four losses in their last five games, we expect him to play another aggressive innings and clear this 27.5-run line if he gets in.
Durham total runs over 169.5
Durham have won three of their last four completed matches and have generally looked solid with the bat, including comfortable wins over Leicestershire and Derbyshire where they chased or set competitive scores. Their only recent setback came against Yorkshire, where they were bowled out cheaply in a difficult chase, but overall form suggests they are more consistent than Notts. On a North Group surface that usually offers good value for shots, we back Durham to post or chase at least 170.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Nottinghamshire
Durham
Nottinghamshire and Durham will meet in this North Group fixture as two teams heading in opposite directions. Notts are languishing near the lower half of the table after a poor start, whereas Durham sit comfortably above them with a positive record and superior net run rate after the opening rounds.
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Nottinghamshire vs Durham Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record between Nottinghamshire and Durham in T20 cricket has traditionally been competitive, but recent momentum favours Durham. Nottinghamshire’s current run of four losses in five games contrasts sharply with Durham’s sequence of three wins in four, giving the visitors a clear mental edge going into this contest.
Nottinghamshire vs Durham Live-streaming and Broadcast
Fans can catch the action live across the following regional networks:
- India: Sony Sports Network (TV) and Sony Liv (Streaming)
- UK: Sky Sports Cricket (TV), Sky Go / NOW (Streaming). Additionally, all non-televised matches are streamed live for free on the respective home counties' YouTube channels.
- USA: Willow TV (TV and Streaming)
- Pakistan, Bangladesh, and UAE: Usually, in regions without a dedicated television broadcast deal for the English domestic season, the matches are available via the individual counties' YouTube channels or via the ECB website.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbsports.com.
NOT vs DUR Team Previews
Nottinghamshire
Nottinghamshire are under pressure after another heavy defeat, this time against Derbyshire, where they conceded 234 for 4 and could only reply with 211 for 6. Their recent form line reads L‑W‑L‑L‑L, with defeats to Worcestershire, Yorkshire and Lancashire also highlighting issues in both bowling and death-overs execution.
The batting still has firepower, with Alex Hales and other top-order hitters capable of quick runs, as seen in his 44 from 23 balls against Derbyshire.
However, the middle order hasn’t consistently converted starts into match-winning contributions, and the bowling unit has repeatedly allowed opposition batters to get away, particularly in the Powerplay and at the death, leading to big totals that are hard to chase.
Nottinghamshire Expected Playing 11
Joe Clarke, Alex Hales, Ben Duckett (WK), Jack Haynes, Lyndon James, Matthew Montgomery, Calvin Harrison, Luke Fletcher, Olly Stone, Dane Paterson, George Linde.
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Durham
Durham’s recent form is far more encouraging. Before their defeat to Yorkshire, where they were bowled out while chasing 152 and lost by 58 runs, they had put together three wins in a row against Northamptonshire, Derbyshire and Leicestershire. Their recent sequence stands at W‑L‑W‑W‑L, reflecting a side that has generally been competitive with both bat and ball.
In their wins, Durham have shown a strong blend of top-order stability and lower-order hitting, while the bowling group has regularly taken wickets through the middle overs to strangle opposition scoring.
Even in the loss to Yorkshire, their bowlers kept the opposition to 151 for 9, only for the batting to misfire on a tricky surface. If the batters correct those mistakes, Durham look well-positioned to trouble an out-of-form Notts lineup.
Durham Expected Playing 11
Alex Lees, Michael Jones, Graham Clark, David Bedingham, Michael Richardson (WK), Bas de Leede, Paul Coughlin, Ben Raine, Brydon Carse, Nathan Sowter, Matty Potts.
NOT vs DUR Toss Prediction
With both teams having recent experience of chasing and Durham in particular enjoying success batting second in their wins over Leicestershire and Derbyshire, the captain winning the toss is likely to opt to field first. This allows them to assess conditions, especially after recent collapses in chases, and take advantage of any movement with the new ball before the pitch flattens out.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
North Group surfaces so far in this T20 Blast have generally offered balanced conditions, with enough pace and carry for stroke play but also assistance for disciplined seam bowling. Derbyshire’s 234 and Yorkshire’s 151 show that good batting is rewarded, yet collapses are still possible if teams lose early wickets.
For this match, a par score should sit somewhere in the 170–180 range, with anything above 190 likely putting serious pressure on the chasing side. Weather is expected to be suitable for a full game, so another competitive contest is on the cards.
The weather is expected to remain clear for a full 40-over contest.
NOT vs DUR : Who Will Win?
We are backing Durham to extend Nottinghamshire’s poor run. Durham’s recent consistency, stronger bowling discipline and more reliable top order give them a clear edge over a Notts side that has leaked big totals and lost four of their last five matches. Unless Nottinghamshire dramatically improve both their Powerplay bowling and middle-order stability, Durham should be able to control this contest and come away with the win.
Bet on Durham to win.
