NZ vs WI Match Prediction : 3rd Test, West Indies tour of New Zealand, 2025
New Zealand To Win, 1.08
New Zealand boasts a strong record at the Bay Oval, winning 3 of their last 5 matches at this venue
History is against the visitors: The last time the West Indies won a Test match in New Zealand was back in 1995
Current form is poor: The West Indies have lost 8 of their 9 Test matches played this calendar year
NZ vs WI Betting Tips
Shai Hope to score Over 21.5 in 1st innings
Shai Hope has established himself as the backbone of the West Indies lineup on this tour. As the leading run-scorer for the visitors in the series, he has consistently crossed the 22-run mark in the first innings of both previous Tests. Given his current form and ability to anchor the innings when wickets fall around him, backing Hope to clear this line offers excellent value.
Highest opening partnership - New Zealand
There is a massive disparity in quality between the two opening pairs. The West Indies duo has looked fragile against the new ball, crossing the 24-run mark only once in four innings. Conversely, New Zealand features the veteran combination of Tom Latham and Devon Conway. Even if they haven't been at their absolute peak, their experience in home conditions makes them heavy favorites to outlast their counterparts and provide a solid platform.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
New Zealand
N/A
West Indies
N/A
The West Indies’ long and arduous tour of New Zealand culminates this week as they face the hosts in the third and final Test match starting on Thursday. The two teams will face off at the Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui, where the Black Caps will look to complete a dominant series victory.
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New Zealand vs West Indies Head-to-Head Record
The two teams have faced each other in 51 matches to date. New Zealand holds the advantage with 18 wins, while the West Indies have won 13. A significant portion of these contests—20 matches—ended in a draw.
New Zealand leads the current series 1-0 and has been dominant over West Indies in Tests over the last two decades.
New Zealand vs West Indies Live-streaming and Broadcast
India: Sony Sports Network, SonyLIV, FanCode, Prime Video
Pakistan: Tapmad, Ten Sports
UK: TNT Sports, discovery+
Bangladesh: T Sports, Toffee
USA: ESPN+
UAE: CricLife (via Starzplay/eLife)
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbsports.com.
NZ vs WI Team Previews
New Zealand
New Zealand holds an unassailable lead in the ongoing 3-match Test series following their victory in the second game. Their goal now is a clean sweep to maintain momentum in the WTC cycle.
While the core of the winning squad remains, the Black Caps have made two tactical changes. Ajaz Patel returns to play his first red-ball match at home in over five years. His inclusion is strategic; the Bay Oval is one of New Zealand’s most spin-friendly venues, and pacer Blair Tickner is out with an injury.
Additionally, Tom Blundell, the first-choice wicketkeeper, has recovered from injury and will reclaim the gloves from Mitchell Hay.
The top order remains formidable with Devon Conway, Tom Latham, and Kane Williamson, while the middle order is packed with all-round power from Rachin Ravindra, Daryl Mitchell, and Glenn Phillips. Jacob Duffy, Zakary Foulkes, and Michael Rae will spearhead the pace attack.
New Zealand Expected Playing 11
Tom Latham (C), Devon Conway, Kane Williamson, Rachin Ravindra, Daryl Mitchell, Tom Blundell (WK), Glenn Phillips, Jacob Duffy, Zakary Foulkes, Michael Rae, Ajaz Patel
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West Indies
It has been a tour to forget for the West Indies. After losing both the T20 and ODI series, they hoped for redemption in the red-ball format. Despite a gritty draw in the first game, their performance has dipped, leaving them playing for pride in this final fixture.
The batting unit has been underwhelming. Openers John Campbell and Brandon King struggled significantly against the moving ball in the previous match and are under pressure to deliver. Shai Hope and Justin Greaves have been the only reliable performers, and the team's fortunes rest heavily on their ability to occupy the crease.
The middle order features Tevin Imlach and Kavem Hodge, with skipper Roston Chase needing to step up to add depth. On the bowling front, the visitors might be tempted to play spinner Jomel Warrican to exploit the conditions alongside seamers Jayden Seales, Kemar Roach, and Anderson Philip.
West Indies Expected Playing 11
John Campbell, Brandon King, Shai Hope, Tevin Imlach (WK), Kavem Hodge, Justin Greaves, Roston Chase (C), Kemar Roach, Jayden Seales, Anderson Philip, Jomel Warrican
NZ vs WI Toss Prediction
The team winning the toss will likely opt to bat first. The surface is best for scoring early on, and avoiding the "fourth innings pressure" against spinners like Ajaz Patel will be a priority for both captains.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The Bay Oval pitch generally offers a balanced contest but rewards batsmen who apply themselves, particularly in the first two days.
Weather: Expect cloudy intervals which may aid swing bowlers, but the forecast is clear of rain. Temperatures will remain pleasant, staying below 25 degrees.
Pace & Bounce: The surface has a green covering which will offer true pace and bounce, allowing batsmen to play shots through the line.
Spin Factor: Unlike many NZ venues, this pitch tends to slow down significantly on Days 4 and 5, bringing spinners into the game.
Scoring: The average first-innings score here is a healthy 390.
NZ vs WI: Who Will Win?
We are firmly backing New Zealand to win this match. While the 1.08 odds are short, they reflect the reality of the contest. The Black Caps are superior in home conditions and have a balanced attack suited to this specific venue. The West Indies have shown only sporadic sparks of brilliance and lack the consistency required to take 20 wickets or post a match-winning total.
Bet on New Zealand to win.
