PAK vs USA Match Prediction : 12th Match, ICC Men’s T20 World Cup, 2026
PAK vs USA Win Probability
83%
Pakistan
17%
United States of America
Pakistan To Win, 1.13
Pakistan has won 6 of its last 7 matches, showing strong momentum despite a very close shave against Netherlands in the opener
USA will have good memories of its win against Pakistan in the previous edition but it is highly unlikely that result will be repeated
Pakistan's batting is suspect but its bowling is quite good, especially Abrar Ahmed and Mohammad Nawaz
PAK vs USA Betting Tips
Pakistan total runs before fall of 1st wicket Over 25.5
Saim Ayub and Sahibzada Farhan have established themselves as a reliable opening combination for Pakistan, averaging nearly 28 runs together across 27 innings. They have successfully crossed the 26-run mark in 7 of their last 10 partnerships. Given their consistency and aggressive intent in the powerplay, backing them to survive the initial burst and clear the 25.5-run line is a solid option.
Sanjay Krishnamurthi to score Over 13.5 runs
Sanjay Krishnamurthi has shown great promise in his short T20I career, averaging close to 32 in his first 6 innings. He has scored at least 14 runs in 4 of those matches, displaying the temperament required for the international stage. A line of 13.5 runs seems conservative for a player of his caliber, making this a value bet.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Pakistan
United States of America
Pakistan will look to extend their winning streak in the ongoing T20 World Cup as they face the United States in a crucial Group stage encounter early next week. The two teams will clash on Tuesday at the Sinhalese Sports Club in Colombo. If, as is currently the news, Pakistan forfeits its match against India, it has no room for error.
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Pakistan vs United States of America Head-to-Head Record
The two teams have faced each other only once in T20 Internationals. That historic match ended in a stunning upset, with the USA defeating Pakistan via a Super Over.
Pakistan vs United States of America Live-streaming and Broadcast
| Country | TV Channel | Live Streaming |
|---|---|---|
| India | Star Sports Network | Disney+ Hotstar App |
| Pakistan | PTV Sports, Ten Sports | Myco App, Tamasha App |
| Australia | — | Amazon Prime Video |
| England (UK) | Sky Sports (Cricket/Main Event) | SkyGO, NOW, Sky Sports App |
| USA & Canada | Willow TV | Willow by Cricbuzz App |
| West Indies | ESPN Caribbean | ESPN Play Caribbean |
| South Africa | SuperSport | SuperSport App |
| New Zealand | Sky Sport NZ | Sky Sport Now, Sky Go |
| Sri Lanka | Maharaja TV (TV1, Sirasa, Shakti) | ICC.tv / Maharaja TV Website |
| Bangladesh | Nagorik TV | Toffee |
| UAE & MENA | CricLife MAX | StarzPlay, StarzON |
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbsports.com.
PAK vs USA Team Previews
Pakistan
While Pakistan secured a victory in their opening game against the Netherlands on Saturday, it was a very unconvincing performance. The match went down to the wire, exposing some familiar frailties. However, points on the board are what matter, and the Men in Green will be keen to iron out the flaws and produce a more dominant display here.
Pakistan got off to a brisk start thanks to the chemistry between openers Saim Ayub and Sahibzada Farhan, and they will need a similar platform in Colombo. The middle order remains a concern; a collapse of 3 wickets in just 10 balls nearly cost them the game against the Dutch.
The team will demand more responsibility from experienced campaigners like Babar Azam, Salman Agha, and Shadab Khan. Lower down the order, Faheem Ashraf proved his worth with a brilliant match-winning cameo and remains a vital asset.
On the bowling front, the spinners were exceptional, with Abrar Ahmed, Saim Ayub, and Mohammad Nawaz claiming two wickets apiece. However, the pace department needs to step up—particularly Shaheen Shah Afridi, who was uncharacteristically expensive. He will share the new ball with Salman Mirza in what promises to be an important spell.
Pakistan Expected Playing 11
Sahibzada Farhan, Saim Ayub, Babar Azam, Salman Agha (C), Usman Khan (WK), Shadab Khan, Mohammad Nawaz, Shaheen Shah Afridi, Salman Mirza, Abrar Ahmed, Faheem Ashraf
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United States of America
The USA put up a spirited fight against India in their opening fixture, but ultimately fell short. While they lost, there were flashes of brilliance that they will hope to build upon as they face another Asian heavyweight.
Top-order stability is the immediate priority. Openers Andries Gous and Saiteja Mukkamalla were dismissed for single digits against India, piling immense pressure on the middle order during a modest chase. Even captain Monank Patel struggled against the moving ball.
Against Pakistan’s high-quality attack, the top order must show more application and avoid trying to hit their way out of trouble too early.
The middle order boasts depth and variety with all-rounders like Milind Kumar, Sanjay Krishnamurthi, and Shubham Ranjane. Bowling remains a mixed bag; Shadley van Schalkwyk was outstanding against India, taking 4 wickets, but he lacked support.
Senior pros Saurabh Netravalkar (who went for over 16 runs per over) and Ali Khan must be more disciplined. There is an injury concern when with Ali Khan and it will be a huge loss if he is unavailable. The spin duo of Harmeet Singh and Mohammad Mohsin will also play a key role in the middle overs.
United States of America Expected Playing 11
Andries Gous (WK), Saiteja Mukkamalla, Monank Patel (C), Milind Kumar, Sanjay Krishnamurthi, Shubham Ranjane, Shadley van Schalkwyk, Saurabh Netravalkar, Harmeet Singh, Mohammad Mohsin, Ali Khan
PAK vs USA Toss Prediction
The trend suggests that the captain winning the toss will likely opt to bowl first. Chasing allows teams to assess the pitch behavior and pace their innings accordingly.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
We expect a balanced surface at the Sinhalese Sports Club. There is a decent covering of grass, meaning seamers can expect some movement early in the innings. However, once the batters settle in and the ball loses its shine, stroke-making should become easier.
The team batting first should aim for a score of around 170; anything above that will be difficult to chase down. The weather is forecast to be cloudy with temperatures around 27°C. While rain is not expected, dew could play a factor in the second half of the match, favoring the chasing side.
PAK vs USA : Who Will Win?
We are backing Pakistan to win this match. Although they looked shaky in their opener, they possess a far more experienced and skillful squad compared to the USA. While the Americans have talented individuals capable of brilliance, Pakistan’s depth and quality should see them through.
Here is what smart bettors should do: Place a small bet on USA pre-match as a hedge. If, and there is a good chance it will, the match becomes close, you can place another bigger bet on Pakistan ensuring you limit your losses or even come out ahead irrespective of the results.
Bet on Pakistan to win.
