NZ vs UAE Match Prediction : 11th Match, ICC Men’s T20 World Cup, 2026
NZ vs UAE Win Probability
90%
New Zealand
10%
United Arab Emirates
New Zealand To Win, 1.03
The UAE enters this contest on a three-match losing streak, including a series defeat to Ireland
New Zealand is a consistent force in ICC events, regularly reaching the knockout stages. It also played brilliantly in its opening match against Afghanistan.
UAE is quite possibly the weakest team of the entire tournament and no match for NZ on 99% of the days
NZ vs UAE Betting Tips
The best result of the first partnership to be from New Zealand
The Emirati bowling attack faces a daunting challenge against one of the most explosive opening pairs in the tournament. Tim Seifert arrives fresh off a match-winning half-century, while Finn Allen has the power to dismantle attacks in the powerplay. Having already played at this venue, the Kiwi duo is accustomed to the conditions and holds a distinct edge over their inexperienced counterparts. Backing New Zealand to post the higher opening partnership is a solid play.
New Zealand to hit a boundary four in the first over
Tim Seifert and Finn Allen are known for their aggressive intent from ball one. In New Zealand’s previous match, the openers smashed three boundaries in the very first over, setting a blistering tone. Against a UAE attack that can be loose early on, the Black Caps will look to find the fence immediately. At 1.53, this bet offers good value for a high-probability outcome.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
New Zealand
United Arab Emirates
N/A
New Zealand’s balanced squad makes them overwhelming favorites. Even in spin-friendly conditions, their depth in both batting and bowling sets them apart. The UAE, having struggled against lower-ranked nations recently, faces a monumental task against a disciplined Black Caps unit.
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New Zealand vs United Arab Emirates Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record is surprisingly competitive, with New Zealand winning two matches and the UAE securing one victory in their three T20 encounters.
New Zealand vs United Arab Emirates Live-streaming and Broadcast
| Country | TV Channel | Live Streaming |
|---|---|---|
| India | Star Sports Network | Disney+ Hotstar App |
| Pakistan | PTV Sports, Ten Sports | Myco App, Tamasha App |
| Australia | — | Amazon Prime Video |
| England (UK) | Sky Sports (Cricket/Main Event) | SkyGO, NOW, Sky Sports App |
| USA & Canada | Willow TV | Willow by Cricbuzz App |
| West Indies | ESPN Caribbean | ESPN Play Caribbean |
| South Africa | SuperSport | SuperSport App |
| New Zealand | Sky Sport NZ | Sky Sport Now, Sky Go |
| Sri Lanka | Maharaja TV (TV1, Sirasa, Shakti) | ICC.tv / Maharaja TV Website |
| Bangladesh | Nagorik TV | Toffee |
| UAE & MENA | CricLife MAX | StarzPlay, StarzON |
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbsports.com.
NZ vs UAE Team Previews
New Zealand
Led by the astute Mitchell Santner, New Zealand is well-equipped for the Chepauk surface. Santner, who knows this ground intimately from his time with Chennai Super Kings (18 IPL matches), will be key with his left-arm spin.
The team’s strength lies in its versatile all-rounders—Glenn Phillips, Rachin Ravindra, and Michael Bracewell—who offer elite fielding, powerful batting, and handy spin options. Phillips is in fine touch, having scored a rapid 42 against Afghanistan recently.
Tim Seifert was the hero of the opener with a composed 65, supported by useful cameos from Mark Chapman and Daryl Mitchell. The bowling attack is equally well-rounded. Jacob Duffy adds swing to the raw pace of Lockie Ferguson and the precision of Matt Henry, who shared four wickets in the last game.
As always, the Black Caps remain a well-oiled machine capable of adapting to any condition.
New Zealand Expected Playing 11
Tim Seifert (wk), Finn Allen, Rachin Ravindra, Glenn Phillips, Mark Chapman, Daryl Mitchell, Mitchell Santner (c), James Neesham, Matt Henry, Lockie Ferguson, Jacob Duffy
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United Arab Emirates
The UAE’s recent performances have exposed significant gaps in their game plan. Against Ireland, they allowed the opposition to recover from 49/3 to post 170/7, largely due to loose death bowling that conceded 65 runs in the final five overs.
While the new-ball bowlers started well, the pressure dissipated once batters got set—a mistake they cannot afford against New Zealand.
Batting remains a concern. In the chase against Ireland, Aryansh Sharma’s half-century was the lone bright spot as the innings crumbled around him. Key batter Muhammad Waseem fell cheaply, and three stumpings highlighted poor game awareness against spin.
With six batters dismissed for single digits, the middle-order fragility is a major worry. Against a top-tier side, such soft dismissals will be punished ruthlessly.
United Arab Emirates Expected Playing 11
Aryansh Sharma (wk), Muhammad Waseem (c), Muhammad Zohaib, Alishan Sharafu, Harshit Kaushik, Mayank Kumar, Dhruv Parashar, Muhammad Arfan, Haider Ali, Junaid Siddique, Muhammad Jawadullah
NZ vs UAE Toss Prediction
Batting first is the logical choice in Chennai. The match is a day game, meaning the harsh sun will bake the pitch, causing it to slow down and take more turn as the game progresses. Chasing on a wearing surface against high-quality spinners will be extremely difficult.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The MA Chidambaram Stadium is renowned for assisting spinners, whoever as we saw in NZ vs AFG, the pitch was quite good for batting. While the new ball might offer brief seam movement, the batters can play through the line and score big. A score of 185 is not out of reach while batting or chasing.
Conditions will be hot and humid with plenty of sunshine. There is a negligible (5%) chance of rain, ensuring a full 40 overs of play.
NZ vs UAE : Who Will Win?
The gulf in class and experience between the two sides is immense. New Zealand’s squad depth, superior spin resources, and tactical discipline make them clear frontrunners. The UAE’s recent struggles against spin and poor death bowling play right into the Black Caps’ strengths.
Bet on New Zealand to win.
