NZ vs SA Match Prediction : 24th Match, ICC Men’s T20 World Cup, 2026
NZ vs SA Win Probability
47%
New Zealand
53%
South Africa
New Zealand To Win, 2.05
These are two powerful teams unbeaten in the tournament so far going at each other. With very little to choose, it is better to chase the better odds.
NZ's batting, particularly its opening pair, has been very impressive. SA's middle-order is a bit wobbly in comparison.
We think NZ's bowling is very good with Mitch Santner and Matt Henry being the standouts. They could keep SA in check.
NZ vs SA Betting Tips
New Zealand total runs before the first dismissal to be over 24.5 runs
Given the current form of the New Zealand openers, betting against them feels like a mistake. The batting surface in Ahmedabad is conducive to scoring, and the Black Caps' top order is in sync. With two of their last four opening partnerships exceeding 100 runs—including a massive 175-run stand in the last game—backing this pair to clear a modest 24.5 run line is a high-value play.
New Zealand total runs in the first six overs to be over 48.5 runs
New Zealand's strategy is clear: attack the powerplay. With fielding restrictions in place on a decent batting wicket, they will look to replicate their previous performance where they smashed 78/0 in the first six overs. The top order is playing with immense freedom, making this "Over" bet a low-risk option with excellent potential returns.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
New Zealand
South Africa
This clash features two juggernauts of world cricket, both of whom are title contenders. Recent history—both in this tournament and head-to-head—suggests New Zealand holds a distinct edge over a South African side that has looked shaky.
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New Zealand vs South Africa Head-to-Head Record
Recent history favors the Kiwis significantly; their previous T20I series against the Proteas resulted in a decisive 3-0 whitewash in favor of New Zealand.
New Zealand vs South Africa Live-streaming and Broadcast
| Country | TV Channel | Live Streaming |
|---|---|---|
| India | Star Sports Network | Disney+ Hotstar App |
| Pakistan | PTV Sports, Ten Sports | Myco App, Tamasha App |
| Australia | — | Amazon Prime Video |
| England (UK) | Sky Sports (Cricket/Main Event) | SkyGO, NOW, Sky Sports App |
| USA & Canada | Willow TV | Willow by Cricbuzz App |
| West Indies | ESPN Caribbean | ESPN Play Caribbean |
| South Africa | SuperSport | SuperSport App |
| New Zealand | Sky Sport NZ | Sky Sport Now, Sky Go |
| Sri Lanka | Maharaja TV (TV1, Sirasa, Shakti) | ICC.tv / Maharaja TV Website |
| Bangladesh | Nagorik TV | Toffee |
| UAE & MENA | CricLife MAX | StarzPlay, StarzON |
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbsports.com.
NZ vs SA Team Previews
New Zealand
New Zealand has grown in stature with every game. After dismantling the UAE, they look like the team to beat. Chasing a competitive 174, they didn't just win; they obliterated the opposition by 10 wickets. Openers Tim Seifert and Finn Allen were in a league of their own, both scoring unbeaten 80s in a flawless 175-run partnership.
NZ has the depth to be able to go hard at the SA bowlers with Daryl Mitchell, Jimmy Neesham, and Mitchell Santner adding fantastic hitting power towards the end.
Their bowling unit is equally composed. Matt Henry led the attack with two vital wickets, while the supporting cast of Jacob Duffy, Lockie Ferguson, Mitchell Santner, and Glenn Phillips all chipped in. Two substantial wins and a massive Net Run Rate have firmly established the Black Caps as title contenders.
New Zealand Expected Playing 11
Tim Seifert (wk), Finn Allen, Rachin Ravindra, Glenn Phillips, Mark Chapman, Daryl Mitchell, Mitchell Santner (c), James Neesham, Matt Henry, Lockie Ferguson, Jacob Duffy
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South Africa
South Africa remains unbeaten, but their campaign has been far from perfect. Their double-super-over victory against Afghanistan felt more like a miraculous escape than a controlled win.
While the top order seems sorted—Quinton de Kock and Ryan Rickelton both scored half-centuries recently—the middle order remains a concern. The team has struggled to accelerate effectively in the middle-to-death overs, which is an area New Zealand will target.
Bowling remains a "tale of two halves." Lungi Ngidi and Keshav Maharaj were superb against Afghanistan (combined 4/53), but spearhead Kagiso Rabada struggled, conceding nearly 40 runs with discipline issues (wides/no-balls).
The Proteas face a stiff task against a near-perfect New Zealand side.
South Africa Expected Playing 11
Aiden Markram (c), Quinton de Kock (wk), Ryan Rickelton, Dewald Brevis, David Miller, Tristan Stubbs, Marco Jansen, George Linde, Kagiso Rabada, Keshav Maharaj, Lungi Ngidi
NZ vs SA Toss Prediction
Expect the winning captain to bowl first. In Ahmedabad, the pitch tends to get better for batting under lights, and the "dew factor" plays a significant role in the second innings, making chasing the preferred option.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The Narendra Modi Stadium usually offers significant seam movement with the new ball, testing the openers early. However, once the ball softens, stroke-making becomes easier. As the match progresses, the track may slow down slightly, bringing spinners into the game.
Given the firepower in both camps, a total of 180+ is par. The weather forecast is clear and dry, though humidity will be high. No rain is expected.
NZ vs SA : Who Will Win?
The Black Caps are evolving into a fearsome unit, balancing a belligerent batting lineup with a disciplined bowling attack. South Africa, while talented, has shown cracks in their armor that New Zealand is perfectly equipped to exploit. The 3-0 series whitewash in their last meeting is a strong indicator of the gap between these two sides right now.
We think this is a great opportunity to back the underdog.
Bet on New Zealand to win.
