NZ vs CAN Match Prediction : 31st Match, ICC Men’s T20 World Cup, 2026
NZ vs CAN Win Probability
100%
Canada
New Zealand To Win, 1.02
A loss for Canada results in immediate elimination, putting them under immense pressure
NZ's batting has done quite well, especially the openers, and that gives them a clear advantage
Canada’s top order has struggled significantly against pace, while New Zealand’s attack is world-class.
NZ vs CAN Betting Tips
New Zealand total runs before fall of 1st wicket - Over 26.5
Finn Allen and Tim Seifert have developed excellent chemistry at the top of the order, boasting a formidable partnership average of nearly 44 runs across 14 innings. They have successfully navigated the Powerplay to score at least 27 runs in 6 of their last 9 outings, including four 50+ stands and one century partnership. Expect them to dominate the Canadian new-ball bowlers early.
Tim Seifert to score Over 25.5 runs
Tim Seifert has been in imperious form, currently standing as the tournament’s leading run-scorer. With two half-centuries in just three innings, he has been the backbone of the Kiwi batting lineup. He has crossed the 26-run mark in 5 of his last 10 innings, and given Canada's relatively inexperienced bowling attack, we are backing him to play another substantial knock.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
New Zealand
Canada
New Zealand will look to officially seal their spot in the Super 8 stage as they face Canada in their final group stage match of the ongoing T20 World Cup. The two teams will clash on Tuesday at the MA Chidambaram Stadium in Chennai.
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New Zealand vs Canada Head-to-Head Record
This will be a historic encounter as the two teams have never faced each other in a T20 International before.
New Zealand vs Canada Live-streaming and Broadcast
| Country | TV Channel | Live Streaming |
|---|---|---|
| India | Star Sports Network | Disney+ Hotstar App |
| Pakistan | PTV Sports, Ten Sports | Myco App, Tamasha App |
| Australia | — | Amazon Prime Video |
| England (UK) | Sky Sports (Cricket/Main Event) | SkyGO, NOW, Sky Sports App |
| USA & Canada | Willow TV | Willow by Cricbuzz App |
| West Indies | ESPN Caribbean | ESPN Play Caribbean |
| South Africa | SuperSport | SuperSport App |
| New Zealand | Sky Sport NZ | Sky Sport Now, Sky Go |
| Sri Lanka | Maharaja TV (TV1, Sirasa, Shakti) | ICC.tv / Maharaja TV Website |
| Bangladesh | Nagorik TV | Toffee |
| UAE & MENA | CricLife MAX | StarzPlay, StarzON |
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbsports.com.
NZ vs CAN Team Previews
New Zealand
After a flawless start with two wins, the Black Caps stumbled on Saturday, suffering a 7-wicket defeat to South Africa. Despite the loss, they sit comfortably in second place in Group B, and a victory here effectively guarantees their progression to the next stage.
The opening duo of Tim Seifert and Finn Allen provided a brisk start against the Proteas and will be eager to dismantle the Canadian attack in the Powerplay. Seifert’s form is crucial, but the middle order needs to fire collectively. While Daryl Mitchell, Mark Chapman, and Glenn Phillips have shown flashes of brilliance, the form of Rachin Ravindra remains a concern as he struggles to find his rhythm.
In the bowling department, the experienced pace trio of Matt Henry, Jacob Duffy, and Lockie Ferguson has taken 9 wickets combined but has been expensive, conceding nearly 10 runs per over. They must tighten their lines with the new ball. Skipper Mitchell Santner has been economical but will look to add more wickets to his tally in spin-friendly Chennai conditions.
New Zealand Expected Playing 11
Tim Seifert (WK), Finn Allen, Rachin Ravindra, Daryl Mitchell, Mark Chapman, Mitchell Santner (C), Glenn Phillips, Matt Henry, Jacob Duffy, Lockie Ferguson, James Neesham
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Canada
As expected, Canada has found the World Cup challenging, suffering defeats in both matches played so far. They are on the brink of elimination but will hope to salvage some pride and test the Black Caps in this encounter.
The opening pair of Yuvraj Samra and Dilpreet Bajwa has found life difficult against quality new-ball bowling, averaging under 10 runs together. This failure at the top has exposed the middle order too early. Navneet Dhaliwal and Harsh Thaker have been the saving graces, scoring individual half-centuries, but they lack support from the rest of the lineup.
Against New Zealand’s high-pace attack, the lower order of Shreyas Movva, Nicholas Kirton, and Saad Bin Zafar will face a stern test. Bowling-wise, Saad Bin Zafar and Ansh Patel have formed a decent spin partnership, topping the wicket charts for their team. However, the pace unit—Jaskaran Singh, Dilon Heyliger, and Kaleem Sana—must step up significantly to trouble the Kiwi batters.
Canada Expected Playing 11
Yuvraj Samra, Dilpreet Bajwa (C), Shreyas Movva (WK), Navneet Dhaliwal, Nicholas Kirton, Harsh Thaker, Saad Bin Zafar, Jaskaran Singh, Ansh Patel, Dilon Heyliger, Kaleem Sana
AUS vs SL Toss Prediction
Given the venue's history, the team winning the toss will likely opt to bowl first to chase down a target under lights.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The pitch at the MA Chidambaram Stadium is a mix of red and black soil, promising a solid batting surface. The average first-innings score since the start of 2025 is around 180, which is considered par.
Expect some movement for the seamers with the new ball, but conditions should ease out as the game progresses, allowing batsmen to play through the line. However, a total exceeding 185 could prove tricky to chase. The weather forecast predicts clear skies, plenty of sunshine, and temperatures hovering just under 30 degrees.
NZ vs CAN : Who Will Win?
We are unequivocally backing New Zealand to win this match. The gulf in class between the two sides is substantial. New Zealand boasts a well-balanced squad with deep experience in high-pressure tournaments, while Canada lacks the firepower to compete against top-tier opposition.
Bet on New Zealand to win.
