NEP vs ITA Match Prediction : 17th Match, ICC Menās T20 World Cup, 2026
NEP vs ITA Win Probability
71%
Nepal
29%
Italy
Nepal To Win, 1.29
Nepal have won six of their last seven matches, showing excellent recent form
Nepal's bowling attackāfeaturing Sandeep Lamichhane, Karan KC, and all-rounder Dipendra Aireeāappears significantly stronger, especially in conditions where spin rules
Italy have lost four of their last five matches and are playing their maiden T20 World Cup
NEP vs ITA Betting Tips
Dipendra Singh Airee to score over 19.5 runs
Dipendra Singh Airee is one of Nepal's most reliable batters, boasting a T20 career average above 32. He's shown excellent recent form, scoring at least 20 runs in three of his last four matches, including a half-century. Against England, Airee contributed valuable runs in Nepal's spirited chase, demonstrating his ability to handle pressure situations. Facing Italy's inexperienced bowling attack on the batting-friendly Wankhede surface, Airee should find scoring opportunities. At 1.85 odds, backing him to cross 19.5 runs offers strong value.
Highest individual score Over 61.5
The Wankhede Stadium pitch is renowned for high scoring, with its flat, hard surface allowing batters to play shots freely. Nepal possesses several quality battersāincluding Dipendra Singh Airee, Rohit Paudel, and Kushal Bhurtelāwho will face an Italian bowling unit that conceded heavily against Scotland. Italy's pace duo of Thomas Draca and Grant Stewart leaked runs at a combined economy rate near 14 in their opening match. With such favorable batting conditions and a vulnerable bowling attack to target, expect at least one batter to post a substantial score exceeding 61.5 runs.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Nepal
Italy
N/A
Nepal and Italy both seek their first victory of the tournament when they meet in this Group C fixture of the ongoing T20 World Cup. The teams clash on Thursday at the Wankhede Stadium in Mumbai, with Nepal entering as strong favorites based on experience, form, and squad quality.
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Nepal vs Italy Head-to-Head Record
This will be the first-ever T20I encounter between Nepal and Italy, making it a historic fixture for both nations. With no previous meetings to reference, form and squad strength become the decisive factors in predicting the outcome.
Nepal vs Italy Live-streaming and Broadcast
| Country | TV Channel | Live Streaming |
|---|---|---|
| India | Star Sports Network | Disney+ Hotstar App |
| Pakistan | PTV Sports, Ten Sports | Myco App, Tamasha App |
| Australia | ā | Amazon Prime Video |
| England (UK) | Sky Sports (Cricket/Main Event) | SkyGO, NOW, Sky Sports App |
| USA & Canada | Willow TV | Willow by Cricbuzz App |
| West Indies | ESPN Caribbean | ESPN Play Caribbean |
| South Africa | SuperSport | SuperSport App |
| New Zealand | Sky Sport NZ | Sky Sport Now, Sky Go |
| Sri Lanka | Maharaja TV (TV1, Sirasa, Shakti) | ICC.tv / Maharaja TV Website |
| Bangladesh | Nagorik TV | Toffee |
| UAE & MENA | CricLife MAX | StarzPlay, StarzON |
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbsports.com.
NEP vs ITA Team Previews
Nepal
Nepal delivered a spirited performance against England on Sunday, nearly pulling off a remarkable chase before falling just short. Despite the loss, the team showed tremendous character and will look to channel that positive energy into their first tournament victory.
The opening combination of Kushal Bhurtel and Aasif Sheikh provides Nepal with an aggressive platform. Bhurtel looked in fine touch against England, playing some powerful strokes during his 29-run knock before departing. The middle order features captain Rohit Paudel, the in-form Dipendra Singh Airee, Aarif Sheikh, and Lokesh Bamāall of whom contributed against England and proved the batting depth runs deep.
Dipendra Singh Airee will be particularly crucial on Wankhede's batting-friendly surface. His ability to anchor innings while maintaining a healthy strike rate makes him a key player in Nepal's hopes of posting or chasing competitive totals.
Veteran seamer Karan KC spearheads the pace attack and should find some early assistance with the new ball, likely supported by Nandan Yadav. Nepal's real strength lies in their spin department, featuring the experienced Sandeep Lamichhane alongside Sher Malla and the versatile Dipendra Airee.
Against Italy's inexperienced batting lineup, these spinners could prove decisive.
Nepal Expected Playing 11
Kushal Bhurtel, Aasif Sheikh (wk), Rohit Paudel (c), Dipendra Singh Airee, Aarif Sheikh, Lokesh Bam, Karan KC, Nandan Yadav, Sher Malla, Sandeep Lamichhane, Gulsan Jha
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Italy
Competing in their first-ever World Cup, Italy showed moments of promise against Scotland on Monday but ultimately fell short. Now they face a must-win situation to keep their tournament hopes alive.
The opening pair of Justin Mosca and Anthony Mosca struggled against Scotland's new-ball bowlers and failed to provide the foundation Italy needed. Against Nepal's quality pace and spin attack, they'll need to show significant improvement to give their middle order a platform to build on.
The middle order features experienced campaigners Wayne Madsen and Gian Meade, while all-rounders JJ Smuts, Ben Manenti, and Harry Manenti add valuable batting depth. Ben Manenti was Italy's standout performer against Scotland, scoring an impressive half-century, and they'll desperately need him to replicate that form.
Italy's bowling remains their biggest concern. Fast bowlers Thomas Draca and Grant Stewart were expensive against Scotland, conceding at a combined economy rate close to 14. While the spinners maintained better control, they failed to take wickets. Against Nepal's confident batting lineup, Italy must drastically improve their bowling discipline or risk being overwhelmed.
Italy Expected Playing 11
Justin Mosca, Anthony Mosca, Wayne Madsen (c), Gian Meade (wk), Ben Manenti, Harry Manenti, JJ Smuts, Grant Stewart, Ali Hasan, Thomas Draca, Crishan Kalugamage
NEP vs ITA Toss Prediction
Given Wankhede's reputation for high scoring and the possibility of evening dew making defending totals more challenging, the toss-winning captain will likely opt to bat first and post a commanding score.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The Wankhede Stadium pitch is exceptionally batsman-friendly, with its flat, hard surface allowing the ball to come onto the bat beautifully. Teams batting first should target the 200-run mark on this surface, as strokeplay becomes increasingly easy once batters settle.
Fast bowlers may extract some movement early with the new ball, but conditions heavily favor batting throughout. Spinners need pinpoint accuracy with their line and length, as the true bounce makes playing across the line straightforward. The relatively short boundaries further tilt the balance toward batters.
Weather conditions will remain clear with temperatures around 28 degrees Celsius, ensuring uninterrupted play.
NEP vs ITA : Who Will Win?
Nepal enter this match with momentum and confidence after their impressive showing against England, one of the tournament favorites. That performance demonstrated Nepal's ability to compete under pressure and handle challenging situations.
Italy, while commendable for reaching their first World Cup, lack experience in these high-pressure conditions and struggled against Scotland's bowling attack. Facing Nepal's superior spin arsenalāled by Sandeep Lamichhaneāon a Wankhede pitch that will assist turn as the match progresses, Italy could find run-scoring difficult once the powerplay ends.
Nepal's balanced squad, recent winning form, and advantage of having played more cricket in Indian conditions, make them clear favorites.
Bet on Nepal to win.
