IND vs USA Match Prediction : 3rd Match, ICC Men’s T20 World Cup, 2026
IND vs USA Win Probability
100%
United States of America
India To Win, 1.01
India has won each of its last 4 T20I games at the Wankhede Stadium
This marks the USA’s first-ever T20I on Indian soil, a massive adjustment in conditions
The disparity in quality is significant; India's bench strength alone outclasses the USA’s starting XI

IND vs USA Betting Tips
Abhishek Sharma to score over 32.5 runs
Abhishek Sharma is currently the most explosive asset in India's top order. Averaging over 37 in his career, he has been a model of consistency, crossing the 33-run mark in four of his last seven innings—including two half-centuries. Crucially, his track record at the Wankhede Stadium is phenomenal, having scored a century in his only previous T20I appearance here. Given the batting-friendly surface, backing him to clear this line is a high-value selection.
Varun Chakravarthy to pick up Over 1.5 wickets
Varun Chakravarthy has cemented his spot as India's premier mystery spinner in this format. His recent form has been lethal, claiming at least two wickets in 8 of his last 11 outings. The USA batters lack experience against high-quality mystery spin, especially on Indian turning tracks. We expect Chakravarthy to exploit this weakness and deliver another multi-wicket spell.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
India
United States of America
The 10th edition of the T20 Cricket World Cup kicks off this week with 20 teams vying for glory. The defending champions, India, begin their title defense on Saturday against the USA at the iconic Wankhede Stadium in Mumbai. This is a mismatch on paper, and anything other than a dominant Indian victory would be a historic upset.
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India vs United States of America Head-to-Head Record
The two teams have faced each other only once in T20 Internationals. That encounter was won decisively by India.
India vs United States of America Live-streaming and Broadcast
| Country | TV Channel | Live Streaming |
|---|---|---|
| India | Star Sports Network | Disney+ Hotstar App |
| Pakistan | PTV Sports, Ten Sports | Myco App, Tamasha App |
| Australia | — | Amazon Prime Video |
| England (UK) | Sky Sports (Cricket/Main Event) | SkyGO, NOW, Sky Sports App |
| USA & Canada | Willow TV | Willow by Cricbuzz App |
| West Indies | ESPN Caribbean | ESPN Play Caribbean |
| South Africa | SuperSport | SuperSport App |
| New Zealand | Sky Sport NZ | Sky Sport Now, Sky Go |
| Sri Lanka | Maharaja TV (TV1, Sirasa, Shakti) | ICC.tv / Maharaja TV Website |
| Bangladesh | Nagorik TV | Toffee |
| UAE & MENA | CricLife MAX | StarzPlay, StarzON |
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbsports.com.
IND vs USA Team Previews
India
India arrives in scintillating form, looking to replicate their invincible run from the 2024 edition where they lifted the trophy undefeated. As the firm favorites, they will be eager to make a ruthlessly efficient start to their campaign.
The depth of Indian cricket is currently frightening; stars like Shubman Gill and Yashasvi Jaiswal cannot even force their way into the squad. Abhishek Sharma, fresh off a sensational IPL and international season, is set to lock down the opening slot. He will likely pair with Ishan Kishan, who proved his worth with excellent knocks in the recent New Zealand series.
The middle order is a fortress featuring Suryakumar Yadav, Tilak Varma, and finisher Rinku Singh, supported by all-rounders Hardik Pandya and Shivam Dube.
Strategically, the Wankhede surface suggests India will deploy two specialist spinners—Axar Patel and Varun Chakravarthy—while Jasprit Bumrah and Arshdeep Singh spearhead the pace attack.
India Expected Playing 11
Abhishek Sharma, Ishan Kishan (WK), Suryakumar Yadav, Tilak Varma, Hardik Pandya, Rinku Singh, Axar Patel, Shivam Dube, Arshdeep Singh, Jasprit Bumrah, Varun Chakravarthy
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United States of America
The USA shocked the world in the previous edition, leveraging their home advantage to reach the Super 8 stage. However, replicating that intensity away from home against the world champions is a monumental task.
The Americans have prioritized continuity, retaining 10 players from the 2024 squad. The core includes skipper Monank Patel, pace ace Saurabh Netravalakar, and the explosive Andries Gous. New additions include former Sri Lankan international Shehan Jayasuriya, who brings vital experience, along with uncapped talents Shubham Ranjane and Mohammad Mohsin.
Their bowling unit relies heavily on the pace trio of Ali Khan, Netravalakar, and Jasdeep Singh. Nosthush Kenjige is expected to shoulder the spin responsibilities, but containing India’s batters at Wankhede will be their toughest test yet.
United States of America Expected Playing 11
Monank Patel (C), Andries Gous (WK), Saiteja Mukkamalla, Shayan Jahangir, Harmeet Singh, Sanjay Krishnamurthi, Shubham Ranjane, Ali Khan, Saurabh Netravalakar, Jasdeep Singh, Nosthush Kenjige
IND vs USA Toss Prediction
The Wankhede Stadium has seen an even split in results between chasing and defending in the last eight matches. However, given the "dew factor" common in Mumbai evening games, the captain winning the toss will almost certainly choose to bowl first to avoid gripping issues in the second innings.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The Wankhede is a batter's paradise. The red-soil pitch offers consistent pace and true bounce, allowing stroke-makers to hit through the line with confidence. While early swing may trouble the openers, the ball will come onto the bat nicely once the shine wears off.
With short boundaries and a lightning-fast outfield, runs will flow freely. The team batting first must target the 200-run mark to feel safe. Weather conditions will be clear and warm (approx. 27°C), but dew is expected to play a significant role in the second half.
IND vs USA: Who Will Win?
We are backing India to win this match comprehensively. As defending champions playing at home, the skill gap between them and the inexperienced USA side is too vast to ignore.
Bet on India to win.

