ENG vs NZ Match Prediction : 49th Match, Super 8, ICC Men’s T20 World Cup, 2026
ENG vs NZ Win Probability
53%
England
47%
New Zealand
New Zealand To Win, 2.05
New Zealand won its match against Sri Lanka at the R Premadasa Stadium while England has not played a single match at this venue in this World Cup
Both teams have a batting lineup that is a bit wobbly
We like New Zealand's bowling lineup a lot better than England's at the moment

ENG vs NZ Betting Tips
New Zealand Total Runs Before Fall of 1st Wicket: Over 23.5
The opening combination of Finn Allen and Tim Seifert has been incredibly consistent for New Zealand. Across their last 16 innings together, they boast an opening stand average of nearly 42 runs. Furthermore, they have comfortably cleared the 24-run mark in each of their last four outings, including a mammoth 150+ partnership. Backing them to provide another solid start is a highly logical play.
Jos Buttler to Score Under 23.5 Runs
Jos Buttler is currently enduring a brutal slump in form. The explosive opener has failed to cross the 23-run threshold in each of his last five T20I innings. Compounding this issue is his historical struggle at the R. Premadasa Stadium, where he averages a meager 13 runs. Given the high stakes of this match and the form of New Zealand's new-ball attack, we expect his woes to continue.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
England
New Zealand
The stakes couldn't be higher as New Zealand faces England in match number 49 of the ongoing T20 World Cup. The Black Caps enter this crucial Super Eights fixture knowing that a victory secures their spot in the semifinals. All of Pakistan will be supporting England to give themselves a chance!
The two heavyweights will clash under the lights on Friday at the R. Premadasa Stadium in Colombo, setting the stage for a thrilling encounter.
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England vs New Zealand Head-to-Head Record
These two nations share a fiercely competitive modern rivalry, with their recent head-to-head record reflecting how evenly matched they are. In their last seven T20I encounters, England holds a narrow advantage with four victories to New Zealand's three.
England vs New Zealand Live-streaming and Broadcast
| Country | TV Channel | Live Streaming |
|---|---|---|
| India | Star Sports Network | Disney+ Hotstar App |
| Pakistan | PTV Sports, Ten Sports | Myco App, Tamasha App |
| Australia | — | Amazon Prime Video |
| England (UK) | Sky Sports (Cricket/Main Event) | SkyGO, NOW, Sky Sports App |
| USA & Canada | Willow TV | Willow by Cricbuzz App |
| West Indies | ESPN Caribbean | ESPN Play Caribbean |
| South Africa | SuperSport | SuperSport App |
| New Zealand | Sky Sport NZ | Sky Sport Now, Sky Go |
| Sri Lanka | Maharaja TV (TV1, Sirasa, Shakti) | ICC.tv / Maharaja TV Website |
| Bangladesh | Nagorik TV | Toffee |
| UAE & MENA | CricLife MAX | StarzPlay, StarzON |
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbsports.com.
ENG vs NZ Team Previews
England
Backed by an incredible, captain's knock from Harry Brook, England secured a memorable victory over Pakistan on Tuesday, becoming the first team to officially book their spot in the semifinals. With qualification secured, they will look to maintain their intensity and winning momentum heading into the knockouts.
However, despite their success, several glaring issues remain. The most pressing concern is the prolonged slump of Jos Buttler at the top of the order. Dismissed for yet another single-digit score in the previous game, Buttler is averaging just over 10 runs across his six tournament outings. England desperately needs him to find form before the semifinals.
Furthermore, while Phil Salt, Tom Banton, and Jacob Bethell have provided useful cameos, the batting lineup has looked brittle. Against Pakistan, wickets tumbled around Harry Brook, whose spectacular century single-handedly dragged England to victory.
On the bowling front, the pace duo of Jofra Archer and Jamie Overton has been phenomenal, sharing 19 wickets between them and consistently striking with the new ball. In the middle overs, the spin twins Adil Rashid and Liam Dawson have been equally effective, claiming nine wickets each while maintaining a suffocating economy rate.
England Expected Playing 11
Phil Salt, Jos Buttler (wk), Harry Brook (c), Jacob Bethell, Tom Banton, Sam Curran, Will Jacks, Liam Dawson, Jofra Archer, Jamie Overton, Adil Rashid.
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New Zealand
New Zealand enters this clash riding high on confidence after a vital, tournament-saving victory over Sri Lanka on Wednesday. Their equation is simple: win this match, and they advance to the semifinals without having to rely on complex Net Run Rate mathematics or other match outcomes.
The Black Caps' success has been built on the reliable foundation provided by openers Finn Allen and Tim Seifert. This explosive duo has been one of the tournament's most consistent opening pairs and will be tasked with neutralizing Jofra Archer early on.
The middle order, however, needs to step up. Rachin Ravindra and Glenn Phillips have shown flashes of brilliance but lack consistency, while Daryl Mitchell and Mark Chapman have occasionally struggled to rotate the strike against high-quality spin. Fortunately, lower-order vital contributions have repeatedly saved New Zealand from posting below-par totals.
With the ball, Matt Henry delivered a searing spell in the previous match and will be hunting for early breakthroughs alongside the express pace of Lockie Ferguson. Crucially for this specific venue, New Zealand's slower bowlers—led by Ish Sodhi and Mitchell Santner—are peaking at the perfect time and are expertly equipped to exploit the turning conditions in Colombo.
New Zealand Expected Playing 11
Tim Seifert (wk), Finn Allen, Rachin Ravindra, Daryl Mitchell, Glenn Phillips, Mark Chapman, Mitchell Santner (c), Matt Henry, Ish Sodhi, Lockie Ferguson, Cole McConchie.
ENG vs NZ Toss Prediction
The R. Premadasa Stadium has heavily favored the team setting the target during this World Cup. With five of the last six matches at this venue being won by the team batting first, the captain winning the toss will almost certainly opt to bat, look to post a daunting total, and let scoreboard pressure do the rest.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The pitch at the Premadasa Stadium has been an excellent batting surface throughout the tournament, yielding an average first-innings score of over 170 runs. The ball typically comes onto the bat nicely against the new ball, allowing top-order batters to score freely during the powerplay.
However, as the match progresses, the dry surface naturally begins to grip, bringing the spinners heavily into the contest during the middle overs.
The weather forecast predicts clear but highly humid conditions. Bettors should note that evening dew could become a factor in the second innings, potentially making it slightly harder for bowlers to grip the ball.
ENG vs NZ : Who Will Win?
While England has officially qualified, the motivation and desperation lie entirely with New Zealand. The Black Caps possess a spin attack perfectly tailored to exploit the dry Colombo pitch. England's over-reliance on Harry Brook masks a brittle top order, and Jos Buttler's ongoing struggles make them vulnerable against the new ball.
Bet on New Zealand to win.

