AUS vs SL Match Prediction : 30th Match, ICC Men’s T20 World Cup, 2026
AUS vs SL Win Probability
36%
Australia
64%
Sri Lanka
Sri Lanka To Win, 3.25
Three of the last four matches at this ground have been won by the team batting first. Keep an eye on the toss.
Australia has been almost disinterested in the tournament and has struggled on the spin friendly surfaces.
Australia has a poor record at Pallekele, losing three of their four matches at the venue.
AUS vs SL Betting Tips
Sri Lanka total runs before fall of 1st wicket under 21.5
While Kamil Mishara and Pathum Nissanka are both quality batsmen, they've consistently struggled to provide solid opening partnerships. The pair averages just 22 runs together across 12 innings and has failed to cross the 21-run mark in six of their last nine outings. Despite Sri Lanka's strong overall form, their opening partnership remains a vulnerable area that Australia's bowlers will target aggressively.
Kusal Mendis to score over 21.5 runs
Kusal Mendis is in sensational form during this tournament, having struck back-to-back half-centuries. His consistency is remarkable—he's scored at least 22 runs in each of his last six matches across all formats. Even more impressive is his record at Pallekele, where he's surpassed 22 runs in each of his last six innings at the venue. Given his current purple patch and familiarity with these conditions, backing Mendis to exceed 21.5 runs offers excellent value.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Australia
Sri Lanka
Sri Lanka will look to extend their perfect unbeaten run in the ongoing T20 World Cup when they face Australia in Match 30 on Monday at the Pallekele International Cricket Stadium. The hosts are riding high on confidence after two comfortable victories, while Australia desperately needs points to keep their tournament hopes alive.
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Australia vs Sri Lanka Head-to-Head Record
Australia dominates the recent head-to-head record, having won 12 of the last 14 T20 International encounters between these two sides.
Australia vs Sri Lanka Live-streaming and Broadcast
| Country | TV Channel | Live Streaming |
|---|---|---|
| India | Star Sports Network | Disney+ Hotstar App |
| Pakistan | PTV Sports, Ten Sports | Myco App, Tamasha App |
| Australia | — | Amazon Prime Video |
| England (UK) | Sky Sports (Cricket/Main Event) | SkyGO, NOW, Sky Sports App |
| USA & Canada | Willow TV | Willow by Cricbuzz App |
| West Indies | ESPN Caribbean | ESPN Play Caribbean |
| South Africa | SuperSport | SuperSport App |
| New Zealand | Sky Sport NZ | Sky Sport Now, Sky Go |
| Sri Lanka | Maharaja TV (TV1, Sirasa, Shakti) | ICC.tv / Maharaja TV Website |
| Bangladesh | Nagorik TV | Toffee |
| UAE & MENA | CricLife MAX | StarzPlay, StarzON |
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbsports.com.
AUS vs SL Team Previews
Australia
Australia's campaign is teetering on the edge after a shock defeat to Zimbabwe. Currently sitting third in Group B, another loss here could open the door to elimination from the tournament.
The batting unit, particularly at the top of the order, has been disappointing. Travis Head—usually the architect of explosive Powerplay starts—has struggled to find rhythm. Mitchell Marsh's injury absence has robbed Australia of crucial firepower during the early overs, leaving them vulnerable when setting or chasing totals.
Steve Smith is expected to come back and add heft to the side. It will be inetresting to see if he opens the batting or plays in the middle.
Other established stars including Glenn Maxwell, Josh Inglis, and Tim David have also failed to fire consistently. Matt Renshaw provided a glimmer of hope with his half-century on Friday and could be pivotal in this crucial encounter. Marcus Stoinis injured his hand against Zimbabwe, and his availability remains uncertain—a potential blow to Australia's already thin all-round options.
The bowling attack has been equally hampered by injuries to first-choice seamers. Nathan Ellis has performed admirably, but he desperately needs more support from Ben Dwarshuis and Cameron Green. The usually reliable Adam Zampa has been uncharacteristically inconsistent with his leg-spin, though he'll continue to lead the spin department alongside Matthew Kuhnemann.
Australia Expected Playing 11
Travis Head (c), Josh Inglis (wk), Steve Smith, Matt Renshaw, Glenn Maxwell, Cameron Green, Tim David, Marcus Stoinis, Nathan Ellis, Adam Zampa, Matthew Kuhnemann
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Sri Lanka
Sri Lanka has enjoyed a flawless start to their campaign with two commanding victories. A win here will secure their passage to the next stage and maintain their momentum as genuine title contenders.
The opening pair of Pathum Nissanka and Kamil Mishara will aim to provide a solid foundation, though their recent partnership form has been inconsistent. However, if either batsman finds rhythm, Sri Lanka possesses the firepower to dominate the Powerplay overs.
The middle order is where Sri Lanka's real strength lies. Kusal Mendis is in exceptional form with consecutive half-centuries and looks unstoppable. He received excellent support from Dasun Shanaka and Pavan Rathnayake in the previous match, forming a formidable trio. All-rounders Kamindu Mendis and Dunith Wellalage add crucial batting depth, allowing Sri Lanka to attack aggressively through the innings.
The absence of Wanindu Hasaranga due to injury is a significant blow, placing additional pressure on Maheesh Theekshana to lead the spin attack. Theekshana has responded admirably, claiming five wickets in the tournament so far and establishing himself as a vital component of the bowling unit.
The pace attack features the express duo of Dushmatha Chameera and Matheesha Pathirana, who will look to exploit early movement with the new ball and claim crucial Powerplay wickets.
Sri Lanka Expected Playing 11
Pathum Nissanka, Kamil Mishara, Kusal Mendis (wk), Pavan Rathnayake, Dasun Shanaka (c), Kamindu Mendis, Dunith Wellalage, Dushan Hemantha, Dushmatha Chameera, Maheesh Theekshana, Matheesha Pathirana
AUS vs SL Toss Prediction
The captain winning the toss will most likely choose to bat first. Teams batting first at Pallekele have enjoyed a clear advantage, with three of the last four matches at the venue won by the side setting the total.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The Pallekele pitch is flat but slow. The ball comes nicely onto the bat to begin with, making stroke-play easier and allowing aggressive batsmen to capitalize. Teams batting first will target scores exceeding 180 runs to put pressure on the chasing side.
As the match progresses, the pitch tends to slow down considerably. Spinners begin to extract turn and grip, making run-scoring increasingly difficult. Any total above 180 becomes challenging to chase under lights, especially if spinners can exploit the deteriorating surface.
Weather conditions are expected to remain overcast throughout the day with pleasant temperatures. Dew may develop as the match progresses into the evening, potentially assisting the team batting second by making the ball slippery for bowlers.
AUS vs SL : Who Will Win?
While most betting sites favor Australia based on their historical dominance and star power, current form and circumstances tell a different story. Australia is struggling with injuries to key players like Mitchell Marsh and Marcus Stoinis, and their batting unit has been inconsistent throughout the tournament.
Sri Lanka, conversely, is riding a wave of confidence with two comprehensive victories. They're playing at home where they traditionally perform well, and their middle order—led by the in-form Kusal Mendis—is firing on all cylinders. Australia's poor record at Pallekele (losing three of four matches) further strengthens the case for backing the hosts.
The value lies firmly with Sri Lanka at these odds.Â
Bet on Sri Lanka to win.
