HAM vs SUS Match Prediction, T20 Blast 2026
HAM vs SUSS Win Probability
62%
Hampshire
38%
Sussex
Hampshire To Win, 1.65
Hampshire are on a three-match winning run, beating Middlesex by 8 wickets, Surrey by 5 wickets, and Essex by 30 runs.
Liam Dawson struck 76 off 44 against Surrey and also took 2 wickets versus Middlesex, showing all-round influence.
Scott Currie has returned 9 wickets across his last four matches, including a four-wicket haul against Essex.
HAM vs SUSS Betting Tips
James Vince to score over 27.5 runs
James Vince has an outstanding T20 record at The Rose Bowl and has been Hampshire’s most reliable run-scorer at home in recent Blast campaigns. He struck 50 off 33 balls in the last T20 Blast meeting between these sides at this venue in 2025 as Hampshire successfully chased 168 against Sussex, underlining both his comfort against this attack and his ability to anchor a chase or set-up. With Vince again set to open and conditions in Southampton typically good for stroke play in night games, backing him to get past 27.5 looks a solid top-order runs angle.
Hampshire to hit more sixes than Sussex
Hampshire have consistently packed their batting unit with powerful stroke-makers at The Rose Bowl, with players like James Vince, Tom Prest, Benny Howell, James Fuller and others all capable of clearing the rope regularly in home conditions. Given Hampshire’s deeper hitting resources and their recent record of posting and chasing strong totals against Sussex, they are well placed to register more sixes in this fixture.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Hampshire
Sussex
Hampshire return to The Rose Bowl with momentum after three straight wins inside a week. The batting has clicked around Liam Dawson’s 76 off 44 against Surrey, while the seamers have struck regularly.
Sussex arrive searching for consistency after back-to-back defeats to Middlesex and Kent. Tom Clark’s 79 off 29 and John Simpson’s 63 off 23 last week show batting firepower, but the attack has leaked under pressure.
Hampshire vs Sussex Head-to-Head Record
Sussex hold a narrow edge in the rivalry with three wins from five meetings, but Hampshire have turned the tide lately by winning the last two clashes, including victories by 6 wickets and 62 runs. Overall, this fixture has swung in phases, with Sussex starting stronger before Hampshire’s recent surge tightened the gap.
HAM vs SUS Team Previews
Hampshire
Hampshire’s recent form is outstanding with wins over Middlesex, Surrey, and Essex. Dawson anchored the chase versus Surrey with 76 off 44, while Hilton Cartwright smashed 46 off 21 against Essex. The top order has shared contributions as Toby Albert added 30 off 15 versus Surrey.
The attack looks balanced and incisive. Scott Currie has 9 wickets across his last four appearances, including 4 against Essex and 2 in each of the other three. Liam Dawson took 2 wickets against Middlesex and chipped in again versus Somerset. James Fuller struck with 2 wickets against Surrey and 1 versus Middlesex, keeping death overs controlled.
Hampshire Expected Playing 11
Toby Albert, Hilton Cartwright, Liam Dawson (C), James Fuller, Scott Currie, Ben Mayes, Toby Albert (WK), Hilton Cartwright, Liam Dawson, James Fuller, Scott Currie
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Sussex
Sussex have mixed returns with one win in three recent outings. Tom Clark blasted 79 off 29 against Kent and 31 off 13 against Middlesex, while John Simpson hammered 63 off 23 versus Essex. James Coles offers dual value with 50 off 29 and 2 wickets in the Essex win, plus 62 off 40 in the previous season’s form line.
Bowling form has flashed but not held across games. Tymal Mills bagged 3 wickets against Middlesex, and Danny Briggs has taken a wicket in each of the last three matches. Henry Crocombe contributed wickets in successive outings, yet the unit conceded decisive stands in the defeats to Kent and Middlesex.
Sussex Expected Playing 11
Tom Clark, John Simpson (WK), James Coles, Danny Lamb, Tymal Mills, Danny Briggs, Henry Crocombe, Bradley Currie, Jack Carson, Ollie Robinson, Tom Haines
HAM vs SUS Toss Prediction
At The Rose Bowl, chasing often feels safer early in the season with evening moisture and consistent bounce. We expect the toss-winner to bowl first and use the new ball under lights.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The Rose Bowl surface typically offers true bounce with grip for spinners as the game progresses. Expect a competitive par around the mid-160s, with powerplay runs available before cutters and spin slow things up.
HAM vs SUS: Who Will Win?
We expect Hampshire to carry their winning streak at home against a talented but inconsistent Sussex side. The hosts combine form hitters with a wicket-taking seam unit led by Scott Currie. Sussex have match-winners, yet recent bowling lapses tilt this contest. Hampshire to edge a medium-scoring game. Pro Tip: Back Scott Currie in the top Hampshire bowler market given his 9 wickets in his last four outings.
Bet on Hampshire to win.
