IRE vs NZ Match Prediction : New Zealand tour of Ireland 2026
IRE vs NZ Win Probability
8%
Ireland
13%
Draw
79%
New Zealand
New Zealand To Win, 1.18
New Zealand is a vastly more experienced Test playing nation with some of the best players in the world.
Ireland has players with plenty of county experience and are playing at home but it will be very tough for them to challenge NZ over the length of a Test match.
New Zealand's bowling attack should blow through the Irish batting lineup.

IRE vs NZ Betting Tips
Team with highest total at first dismissal to be New Zealand
The Black Caps' opening pair has been in absolutely sublime form. Following monstrous opening stands of 323 and 192 against the West Indies in their last Test outing, backing the New Zealanders here is a no-brainer. The immense wealth of international experience shared by Tom Latham and Devon Conway stands in stark contrast to the untested Irish pairing of Andy Balbirnie and Jake Egan, heavily favoring the visitors to lay a superior foundation.
Ireland total at first dismissal to be under 16.5 runs
The glaring lack of experience at the top of Ireland’s order makes this a highly sensible cricket betting option. With veteran Paul Stirling absent, Jake Egan looks set to be thrust into a daunting Test debut. Holding just one First-Class cap, Egan's inexperience will naturally concern anyone hoping for a solid, resilient start from the Irish openers against the new ball.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Ireland
N/A
New Zealand
N/A
The touring New Zealanders are bringing a phenomenally strong squad to Europe and will come out all guns blazing. All the momentum rests with the visitors, who remarkably haven't lost a Test match since 2024. The Irish hosts face a monumental task and will need to execute a flawless game plan just to stay competitive against this red-ball powerhouse.
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Ireland vs New Zealand Head-to-Head Record
This highly anticipated fixture will mark the first-ever Test match meeting between Ireland and New Zealand.
Ireland vs New Zealand Live-streaming and Broadcast
- Ireland and UK (England): Sky Sports will provide ball-by-ball coverage, with highlights available on RTÉ Sport (RTÉ2 and RTÉ Player) in Ireland.
- India: FanCode (live streaming via the FanCode app).
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbsports.com.
IRE vs NZ Team Previews
Ireland
Ireland faces a grim reality as the odds are heavily stacked against them in this historic one-off Test.
Crushing defeats to Bangladesh in their last two outings mean the hosts have a mountain to climb against one of the world's premier Test-playing nations. A brutal injury crisis has unfortunately sidelined frontline pacers Josh Little and Barry McCarthy.
Consequently, Mark Adair must carry the weight of an inexperienced bowling attack. Seamer Craig Young needs to deliver the performance of his life, as his current Test record of just eight wickets across seven innings inspires little confidence. S
pin specialist Andy McBrine boasts impressive past numbers—including one four-wicket and two five-wicket hauls in Tests—but he will likely have to wait until the pitch degrades late in the match to find tailored turning conditions.
The batting lineup is a mixed bag of youthful exuberance and modest Test experience. As the team's leader, all eyes will be on skipper Andy Balbirnie, though his Test batting average sits concerningly under 24. With Cade Carmichael holding only two Test caps, the rest of the batting group must seriously overachieve to post a competitive total.
Ultimately, Ireland appears vastly outmatched on paper, and this fixture threatens to become a one-sided walkover for the Black Caps.
Ireland Expected Playing 11
Andy Balbirnie (c), Jake Egan, Cade Carmichael, Harry Tector, Curtis Campher, Lorcan Tucker (wk), Stephen Doheny, Andy McBrine, Mark Adair, Craig Young, Matthew Humphreys
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New Zealand
New Zealand enters this one-off Test wielding a terrifying blend of fabulous veteran experience and thrilling young talent. Calmness and elite class define their opening partnership. Skipper Tom Latham smashed two centuries in his last Test, while Devon Conway went even further, registering a magnificent double century and a century in the exact same match.
Following them is the legendary Kane Williamson. Batting at number three, he boasts nearly 9,500 Test runs and a colossal 33 centuries, making him one of the most prized wickets in world cricket today.
The middle order is equally daunting. Daryl Mitchell provides ruthless brute force, boasting a First-Class batting average hovering near 50. The meteoric rise of Rachin Ravindra ensures the firepower never stops; the young prodigy scored a half-century and an unbeaten 46 in his last red-ball appearance. High-impact all-rounder Glenn Phillips further bolsters the unit, lengthening the batting card while offering extremely handy spin-bowling.
With the ball, Matt Henry will lead the charge armed with his 140 Test wickets. Will O’Rourke promises to be relentless, having famously claimed a historic nine-wicket match haul on his Test debut. Supplemented by the fresh, electric pace of Zak Foulkes and Michael Rae, this New Zealand seam attack is built to dismantle batting lineups.
Boasting a wealth of global stars in both departments, New Zealand is heavily favored to dominate this contest and take the match away early.
New Zealand Expected Playing 11
Tom Latham (c), Devon Conway, Kane Williamson, Rachin Ravindra, Daryl Mitchell, Tom Blundell (wk), Glenn Phillips, Zak Foulkes, Matt Henry, Will O’Rourke, Michael Rae
IRE vs NZ Toss Prediction
Only one Test match has been historically hosted at this venue. In that solitary fixture, Ireland sensibly opted to bowl first. Unless the captains are greeted by bright, baking sun, fielding first remains the smartest toss prediction under typical Irish conditions.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
Our Belfast pitch report suggests seamers will eagerly utilize the overhead cloud cover to extract massive aerial swing with the new ball. As the pitch flattens out, stroke-makers might find run-scoring slightly easier, though the surface typically slows down in the latter stages of the match. In the only previous Test at this ground, Ireland was restricted to 250 all out in their first innings.
The daytime weather forecast predicts cool, cloudy conditions. While the chance of rain remains incredibly low at just five percent, soaring humidity levels will keep the fast bowlers engaged throughout the day.
IRE vs NZ : Who Will Win?
Armed with a lethal seam-bowling attack and a freakishly consistent batting lineup, the touring New Zealanders possess all the necessary ingredients to coast to another dominant Test victory. Meanwhile, Ireland holds a mixed home Test record with just a 50 percent win rate, and their depleted squad will need an absolute miracle to pull off an upset.
Bet on New Zealand to win.

