IND vs NZ Match Prediction : 5th T20, New Zealand tour of India, 2026
IND vs NZ Win Probability
94%
India
6%
New Zealand
India To Win, 1.29
India enjoys playing at Thiruvananthapuram, having won 3 of their 4 matches at this specific venue.
The Indians are historically ruthless at home, losing only 2 of their last 10 T20Is on Indian soil.
Elite teams rarely lose two in a row. After a blip in the 4th T20I, expect a strong reaction from Suryakumar Yadav’s men to close the series 4-1.
IND vs NZ Betting Tips
India total runs before fall of 1st wicket Under 25.5
Betting against India's opening stand has been a consistent winner this series. The pair of Sanju Samson and Abhishek Sharma has failed to cross the 25-run mark in all 4 matches of this series. Expanding the dataset, they have cleared this line only three times in their last 17 innings together. With Samson averaging just 10 runs per innings lately, expect an early breakthrough for the Kiwis.
Rachin Ravindra to score Under 19.5 runs
Rachin Ravindra is struggling to find his rhythm in Indian conditions. He has been dismissed for single-digit scores in 3 of the 4 games so far. His historical record against India is poor, averaging just over 11 runs across 5 matches. With confidence low, fading him at this line offers excellent value.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
India
N/A
New Zealand
N/A
India and New Zealand face off one last time in this bilateral series, using this final clash as crucial preparation for the upcoming T20 World Cup. The action shifts to the Greenfield International Stadium in Thiruvananthapuram.
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India vs New Zealand Head-to-Head Record
India holds a dominant psychological edge over the Black Caps. In their last 10 T20 encounters, India has emerged victorious 8 times.
India vs New Zealand Live-streaming and Broadcast
- India: Live streaming on the JioHotstar app, live telecast on the Star Sports Network
- New Zealand: Live streaming via Spark Sport
- United Kingdom: Available on Sky Sports Cricket
- Australia: Live coverage on Fox Sports and streaming on Kayo Sports
- South Africa: Broadcast on SuperSport
- Caribbean: Available on Flow Sports
- United States & Canada: Streaming on Willow TV
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbsports.com.
IND vs NZ Team Previews
India
After sealing the series with three straight wins, India stumbled in the 4th T20I, losing by 50 runs. While the result was a dampener, it serves as a wake-up call to eliminate complacency.
The spotlight is firmly on Sanju Samson, whose lean patch (avg. 10.0 this series) puts his spot under scrutiny. Abhishek Sharma will look to bounce back after a golden duck, aiming to provide the explosive start he is known for. The middle order remains India's engine room—Suryakumar Yadav, Shivam Dube, and Rinku Singh have all been in fine touch.
The biggest concern is the bowling economy. India has conceded 200+ runs in 3 of the 4 games. Even the usually frugal Jasprit Bumrah has been expensive (approx. 8 RPO), while spinners like Kuldeep Yadav and Ravi Bishnoi have struggled to contain the scoring.
India Expected Playing 11
Sanju Samson (WK), Abhishek Sharma, Suryakumar Yadav (C), Shivam Dube, Rinku Singh, Hardik Pandya, Harshit Rana, Ravi Bishnoi, Arshdeep Singh, Kuldeep Yadav, Jasprit Bumrah
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New Zealand
The Black Caps restored some pride with a massive 50-run win in Visakhapatnam, proving they can punish India’s bowling errors. They will be eager to end the tour on a high note.
Openers Devon Conway and Tim Seifert finally clicked in the last game, and repeating that platform is essential. However, the middle order remains brittle. Rachin Ravindra is out of form, putting immense pressure on Daryl Mitchell and Glenn Phillips (the team's leading run-scorer) to carry the scoring burden in the death overs.
The spin duo of Ish Sodhi and Mitchell Santner (5 combined wickets in the last game) will be crucial again on a track that might offer some grip. The pace attack remains unchanged with Matt Henry leading the line.
New Zealand Expected Playing 11
Devon Conway, Tim Seifert (WK), Rachin Ravindra, Daryl Mitchell, Mark Chapman, Mitchell Santner (C), Glenn Phillips, Ish Sodhi, Zakary Foulkes, Matt Henry, Jacob Duffy
IND vs NZ Toss Prediction
Given the dew factor in Thiruvananthapuram, defending a total can become difficult as the ball gets wet in the second innings. Captains will prefer to chase to have the best batting conditions later in the game.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The pitch at the Greenfield International Stadium is historically tricky for batters.
- Weather: Cloudy skies with temperatures around 27°C. No rain is forecast, but humidity will be high.
- Average Score: First-innings scores hover around 155, significantly lower than typical Indian grounds.
- Conditions: Expect an even covering of grass, offering early movement for the seamers. Batters will need to prioritize strike rotation over blind hitting.
- Par Score: A total of 175-180 will be very difficult to chase here.
IND vs NZ: Who Will Win?
While New Zealand gained momentum with their win in Vizag, the conditions in Thiruvananthapuram suit India's adaptability better. The home side has superior depth in both batting and bowling. Despite the recent loss, the gap in quality between the two sides has been evident throughout the series. We expect India to rectify their errors and finish with a comfortable win.
Bet on India to win.
