IND vs NZ Match Prediction : 3rd T20, New Zealand tour of India, 2026
IND vs NZ Win Probability
94%
India
6%
New Zealand
India To Win, 1.25
India have dominated New Zealand in home T20Is, winning eight of the last nine such encounters
New Zealand face a must-win situation and will be under pressure
Indiaās batting depth gives them a significant edge in high-scoring conditions

IND vs NZ Betting Tips
Highest individual score Over 71.5
The Barsapara Cricket Stadium has emerged as one of the most batting-friendly venues in India. Each of the last two T20Is played here has produced a century, highlighting how rewarding the surface can be once a batter gets set. With both India and New Zealand boasting powerful top and middle orders, another substantial individual innings looks very likely in this match.
New Zealand total runs before fall of 1st wicket Over 21.5
Devon Conway and Tim Seifert form one of New Zealandās most reliable opening combinations in T20 cricket. Together, they average over 30 runs per opening stand and have crossed the 22-run mark in four of the seven matches they have opened together. On a flat Guwahati surface, backing New Zealand to get off to a solid start makes strong sense.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
India
N/A
New Zealand
N/A
India will look to secure an unassailable lead in the series as they host New Zealand for the third T20I at the Barsapara Cricket Stadium in Guwahati. Having won the first two matches, the hosts are full of confidence and know that another victory will seal the series.
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India vs New Zealand Head-to-Head Record
New Zealandās recent record against India in T20Is has been poor, with India winning eight of the last ten meetings between the two sides.
India vs New Zealand Live-streaming and Broadcast
Matches inĀ BangladeshĀ are televised on T Sports and GTV, with live streaming available on RabbitholeBD and the T Sports app. InĀ India, BPL is streamed live on FanCode (app and website), which holds the official digital rights.
Viewers inĀ PakistanĀ can watch via Tapmad, which carries BPL streaming in the region. In theĀ UKĀ andĀ USA, coverage is available through Willow (TV/app) in many packages, sometimes supplemented by Rabbitholeās YouTube presence when permitted.
In theĀ UAEĀ and wider MENA, BPL access is typically through digital platforms that carry Rabbithole or Willow feeds, with availability varying slightly by provider, so checking local IPTV/OTT sports bundles is recommended.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbsports.com.
IND vs NZ Team Previews
India
India have enjoyed a flawless start to the series and now stand on the brink of clinching it. The team management has shown faith in the opening pair of Sanju Samson and Abhishek Sharma, and that is expected to continue. While Samson has yet to hit top gear, Abhishek Sharma has been Indiaās standout T20 batter in recent months and remains a constant threat in the powerplay.
The middle order showed encouraging signs in the previous match, with Ishan Kishan and Suryakumar Yadav both returning to form with fluent half-centuries. With Hardik Pandya, Rinku Singh, and Shivam Dube providing further firepower, India possess one of the deepest batting line-ups in world cricket.
Bowling remains the area of concern. India have conceded over 190 runs in both matches so far, with even traditionally economical bowlers like Varun Chakravarthy and Kuldeep Yadav going at over nine an over. Tightening their lines and executing better at the death will be a key focus heading into this contest.
India Expected Playing 11
Sanju Samson (WK), Abhishek Sharma, Suryakumar Yadav (C), Hardik Pandya, Shivam Dube, Ishan Kishan, Kuldeep Yadav, Rinku Singh, Varun Chakravarthy, Arshdeep Singh, Harshit Rana
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New Zealand
New Zealand will be frustrated by how the series has unfolded so far. Despite showing flashes of quality with the bat, they have failed to capitalise on strong starts and crucial moments, leaving them staring at a potential series defeat.
Much will once again depend on Devon Conway and Tim Seifert at the top. Both got starts in the previous game but couldnāt convert them into match-defining innings. The same applies to Glenn Phillips, Daryl Mitchell, and Mark Chapman, all of whom have the ability to change the course of a game but need to bat longer.
Rachin Ravindra and Mitchell Santner were among the brighter spots last time out, particularly with the bat. However, New Zealandās bowling has struggled for control. Matt Henry and Jacob Duffy have shown promise with the new ball, while the spinners ā Santner and Ish Sodhi ā have been expensive, conceding over 12 runs per over. A more collective bowling effort will be required if New Zealand are to stay alive in the series.
New Zealand Expected Playing 11
Devon Conway, Tim Seifert (WK), Rachin Ravindra, Glenn Phillips, Mark Chapman, Daryl Mitchell, Mitchell Santner (C), Matt Henry, Ish Sodhi, Jacob Duffy, Zakary Foulkes
IND vs NZ Toss Prediction
The team batting first has lost two of the three T20Is played at this venue. Based on recent trends, the captain winning the toss is likely to opt to bowl first.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
Barsapara has consistently delivered high-scoring contests, with over 400 runs scored in each of the last two matches here. The surface offers good pace and carry, with enough grass to allow the ball to skid onto the bat. Batters who back themselves can score freely, and teams batting first will target totals in excess of 200.
Bowlers must stick to tight, wicket-to-wicket lines, as any width is likely to be punished. Conditions will be cool, with temperatures below 20°C, and there is a strong possibility of dew during the second innings.
IND vs NZ: Who Will Win?
Indiaās form, confidence, and superior batting depth make them clear favourites heading into this match. While New Zealand have the talent to push the hosts, their inability to close out key moments has hurt them throughout the series.
Bet on India to win.

