IND vs NZ Match Prediction : 3rd ODI, New Zealand tour of India, 2026
IND vs NZ Win Probability
74%
India
26%
New Zealand
India To Win, 1.29
India have won all seven ODIs played at this venue
New Zealand have won 10 of their last 11 ODIs overall and are also in very good form
India's batting strength and the fact that NZ is missing some of its best players should help the home team edge ahead
IND vs NZ Betting Tips
Daryl Mitchell to score over 32.5 runs
Daryl Mitchell has been in outstanding form over the past few months and continues to thrive against India. He has scored at least 33 runs in each of his last seven innings, including two centuries and three half-centuries. His record against India is even more impressive, with three hundreds and two fifties in his last six innings. Given his consistency and ability to handle pressure, backing Mitchell to cross 32.5 runs again looks like a high-confidence pick.
India total runs before fall of 1st wicket Over 37.5
Rohit Sharma and Shubman Gill remain one of the most dependable opening pairs in world cricket. The duo averages close to 65 across 37 innings and has cleared the 38-run mark in each of their last three outings, including two partnerships of 50-plus. On a batting-friendly Indore surface, India are well placed to enjoy another strong start.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
India
New Zealand
With the series tied 1–1, India and New Zealand face off in the decisive third ODI on Sunday at the Holkar Cricket Stadium, Indore. While New Zealand arrive with confidence after leveling the series, India’s formidable home record gives them a clear edge in the series decider.
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India vs New Zealand Head-to-Head Record
The two teams have faced each other 122 times in ODIs. India have won 63 matches, New Zealand 51, with six no-results and one tie.
India vs New Zealand Live-streaming and Broadcast
Matches in Bangladesh are televised on T Sports and GTV, with live streaming available on RabbitholeBD and the T Sports app. In India, BPL is streamed live on FanCode (app and website), which holds the official digital rights.
Viewers in Pakistan can watch via Tapmad, which carries BPL streaming in the region. In the UK and USA, coverage is available through Willow (TV/app) in many packages, sometimes supplemented by Rabbithole’s YouTube presence when permitted.
In the UAE and wider MENA, BPL access is typically through digital platforms that carry Rabbithole or Willow feeds, with availability varying slightly by provider, so checking local IPTV/OTT sports bundles is recommended.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbsports.com.
IND vs NZ Team Previews
India
India will be frustrated by their performance in the second ODI, where they failed to capitalize on good batting conditions and were unable to defend a below-par total. Despite flashes of brilliance, the side hasn’t yet clicked as a complete unit.
Shubman Gill has been consistent at the top, registering his second consecutive half-century of the series, but Rohit Sharma is still searching for a big score. Virat Kohli and KL Rahul have been India’s standout batters, each scoring a century so far, but the middle and lower-middle order needs to provide more firepower. Ravindra Jadeja and Nitish Reddy have struggled to accelerate, while Shreyas Iyer’s form remains patchy.
The bowling attack has been effective in spells but expensive overall. Prasidh Krishna and Harshit Rana have three wickets apiece, though their economy rates remain a concern. Kuldeep Yadav, usually dominant at home, will be eager to make a bigger impact in the decider.
India Expected Playing 11
Shubman Gill (C), Rohit Sharma, Virat Kohli, KL Rahul (WK), Shreyas Iyer, Ravindra Jadeja, Nitish Reddy, Harshit Rana, Mohammed Siraj, Prasidh Krishna, Kuldeep Yadav
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New Zealand
New Zealand have exceeded expectations on this tour, especially given the absence of several key players. Their composed performance in the second ODI showcased both resilience and depth, putting them in contention to clinch the series.
Daryl Mitchell has been the backbone of the batting, following up a half-century with a commanding century in the previous match. Will Young has offered excellent support, while Devon Conway and Henry Nicholls remain capable of anchoring the innings if they get starts. With Glenn Phillips and Michael Bracewell adding power and flexibility down the order, New Zealand possess a well-rounded batting lineup.
The bowling unit has also delivered. Kyle Jamieson and Kristian Clarke have been effective with the new ball, combining for nine wickets so far. Zakary Foulkes adds further pace options, while Bracewell, Phillips, and Jayden Lennox provide variety in the spin department.
New Zealand Expected Playing 11
Devon Conway, Henry Nicholls, Daryl Mitchell, Will Young, Mitchell Hay (WK), Michael Bracewell (C), Glenn Phillips, Zakary Foulkes, Kyle Jamieson, Jayden Lennox, Kristian Clarke
IND vs NZ Toss Prediction
The team winning the toss is likely to opt to bat first, aiming to maximize the best batting conditions before the pitch begins to slow later in the game.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The Holkar Cricket Stadium is traditionally a high-scoring venue. The average first-innings score here is around 332, with the ball coming nicely onto the bat early on. As the match progresses, the pitch tends to slow, bringing spinners into play during the second innings.
Clear weather is expected, though dew could play a role later in the match.
IND vs NZ: Who Will Win?
With the series level and both teams coming off a win, this promises to be a competitive decider. New Zealand’s form cannot be ignored, but India’s dominance at home and excellent record at Indore give them a decisive advantage. Expect India to lift their intensity in a must-win scenario.
Bet on India to win.
