BAN vs NZ Match Prediction : 2nd Match, New Zealand tour of Bangladesh, 2026
BAN vs NZ Win Probability
59%
Bangladesh
41%
New Zealand
Bangladesh To Win, 1.65
Chasing is notoriously difficult in Dhaka. 7 of the last 10 matches here were won by the team batting first. Keep an eye on the toss.
Despite recent struggles, Bangladesh maintains a formidable home record, winning 7 of their last 10 ODIs against New Zealand in their own backyard.
The conditions are going to be firmly in favor of the Bangladeshis.

BAN vs NZ Betting Tips
Highest individual score Under 89.5
The famously sluggish pitch at the Shere Bangla National Stadium rarely permits massive individual hundreds. Historically, only two of the last nine ODI matches played here have witnessed a batter crossing the 90-run threshold. Given the tricky, two-paced nature of the surface and the presence of two highly disciplined bowling attacks, expecting a collective batting effort rather than a single explosive masterclass is the smartest play.
Towhid Hridoy to score over 24.5 runs
Towhid Hridoy has arguably been Bangladesh’s most reliable and consistent batter in recent months. He has effortlessly cleared the 25-run mark in four of his last five innings, a run of form that includes two brilliant half-centuries. Boasting a solid average of nearly 35 across eight innings at this specific venue, backing Hridoy to anchor the middle order and clear this modest run line offers fantastic value.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Bangladesh
New Zealand
Bangladesh enters a desperate, do-or-die situation as they look to keep the three-match ODI series alive. Staring down a 0-1 deficit, the hosts will clash with a confident New Zealand side in the crucial second match on Monday at the Shere Bangla National Stadium in Dhaka.
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Bangladesh vs New Zealand Head-to-Head Record
While Bangladesh is historically strong at home, New Zealand has utterly dominated the overall recent head-to-head matchups. In their last 10 encounters across all venues, the Black Caps have secured 9 victories, leaving Bangladesh with just a single win.
Bangladesh vs New Zealand Live-streaming and Broadcast
Fans can catch the action live across the following regional networks:
- Bangladesh: T Sports, GTV, and BTV (TV); Rabbitholebd and Toffee (Streaming)
- New Zealand: Sky Sport NZ (TV); Sky Sport Now and Rabbitholebd Sports YouTube (Streaming)
- India: FanCode (Streaming only)
- Pakistan: Ten Sports Pakistan and PTV Sports (TV); Tapmad TV and Tamasha (Streaming)
- UAE: CricLife channels (TV); Starzplay (Streaming)
- USA: Willow TV (TV); Willow TV App, Sling TV, and ESPN+ (Streaming)
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbsports.com.
BAN vs NZ Team Previews
Bangladesh
Bangladesh will be absolutely livid with their series-opening performance on Friday. Entering the contest as heavy home favorites, they completely failed to execute under pressure and handed the initiative to the visitors. They are now forced to play high-stakes catch-up cricket to save the series.
To bounce back, their stacked batting lineup must deliver. Openers Saif Hassan and Tanzid Hasan are tasked with surviving the new ball. Tanzid has been incredibly consistent recently, making his opening-game duck a rare anomaly. Expect a fierce response from him.
In the previous match, Saif, Towhid Hridoy, and wicketkeeper Litton Das all got promising starts but disastrously failed to convert them into match-winning knocks. Furthermore, the hosts desperately need captain Mehidy Hasan Miraz and Najmul Hossain Shanto to step up and take responsibility in the middle overs.
On the bowling front, Bangladesh possesses a highly balanced, lethal attack perfectly suited for home conditions. The fiery pace trio of Taskin Ahmed, Shoriful Islam, and Nahid Rana will look to rattle the Kiwi top order, while Rishad Hossain will operate as the premier specialist spinner to exploit the dry surface.
Bangladesh Expected Playing 11
Saif Hassan, Tanzid Hasan, Najmul Hossain Shanto, Litton Das (WK), Towhid Hridoy, Afif Hossain, Mehidy Hasan Miraz (C), Nahid Rana, Taskin Ahmed, Shoriful Islam, Rishad Hossain
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New Zealand
New Zealand traveled to the subcontinent with a heavily rotated, inexperienced squad, leading many to doubt their chances in notoriously tricky Bangladeshi conditions. Defying all expectations, they executed a clinical game plan from ball one on Friday and will now look to ruthlessly seal the series.
The Black Caps' batting relies heavily on the veteran trio of Will Young, Henry Nicholls, and skipper Tom Latham. Nicholls was spectacular in the opener, stroking a flawless half-century to lay a rock-solid foundation. From there, New Zealand's exciting crop of youngsters took over. Dean Foxcroft, making his international return after two years, was the standout performer, smashing a half-century and claiming a vital wicket.
The bowling attack also stepped up massively. Pacer Blair Tickner delivered a devastating spell to bag four wickets and will once again share the new ball with William O'Rourke and Nathan Smith. During the crucial middle overs, spinner Jayden Lennox provided exceptional economy and control, ensuring Bangladesh never broke free.
New Zealand Expected Playing 11
Will Young, Henry Nicholls, Tom Latham (C & WK), Nick Kelly, Muhammad Abbas, Dean Foxcroft, Josh Clarkson, Nathan Smith, Jayden Lennox, Blair Tickner, William O'Rourke
BAN vs NZ Toss Prediction
Given the venue's history of deteriorating pitches, the captain winning the toss will almost certainly elect to bat first and put scoreboard pressure on the opposition.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The pitch at the Shere Bangla Stadium is traditionally a grueling test of technique. While a deceptive tinge of green grass might exist on top, the underlying surface is bone-dry and two-paced. Batters cannot simply hit through the line; they must carefully read the pitch's pace and play the ball purely on its merit.
The surface notoriously slows down as the match progresses, making run-chases highly suffocating as the spinners take over. The team batting first should target a par score of 270 runs—anything above that becomes a monumental mountain to climb in the second innings.
Expect clear, punishingly hot weather with temperatures hovering around 35 degrees Celsius.
BAN vs NZ : Who Will Win?
Although Bangladesh stumbled heavily in the series opener, we fully expect a fierce retaliation in this must-win encounter. They possess a deeper, more experienced batting core and a bowling attack tailor-made for these specific conditions.
While this young New Zealand side has proven they are fearless and highly capable of pulling off another upset, the sheer desperation of a do-or-die home fixture gives Bangladesh the edge.
Bet on Bangladesh to win.

