PBKS vs RR Match Prediction : 40th Match, IPL 2026
PBKS vs RR Win Probability
56%
Punjab Kings
44%
Rajasthan Royals
Rajasthan Royals To Win, 2.15
Jofra Archer and Nandre Burger possess the raw pace and bounce required to finally rattle the Punjab Kings' top order
Rajasthan's top batters are in spectacular run-scoring form and are perfectly equipped to exploit the favorable conditions on offer
PBKS is unbeaten so far but surely, this streak has to end sooner rather than later!

PBKS vs RR Betting Tips
Riyan Parag to score Under 21.5 runs
Riyan Parag has been struggling immensely this season, averaging under 13 runs across his eight innings. He has completely failed to cross the 21-run mark in every single match he has played. Given his absolute lack of form and confidence at the crease, backing him to produce another low score is a highly logical and safe bet.
Rajasthan Royals total runs before fall of 1st wicket Over 28.5
Yashasvi Jaiswal and Vaibhav Sooryavanshi have proven to be one of the most destructive opening pairs over the last two IPL seasons. They have successfully scored 29 or more runs before the first wicket in six of their eight matches so far this year. With a flat, batting-friendly surface expected, we are confidently backing them to provide Rajasthan with another solid and fast start.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Punjab Kings
Rajasthan Royals
The Rajasthan Royals have historically held the edge in this rivalry. In the last ten matches played between these two franchises, Rajasthan has claimed six victories, while the Punjab Kings have won four times.
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Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals Head-to-Head Record
The Rajasthan Royals have historically held the edge in this rivalry. In the last ten matches played between these two franchises, Rajasthan has claimed six victories, while the Punjab Kings have won four times.
Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals Live-streaming and Broadcast
Fans can catch the action live across the following regional networks:
- India: Star Sports Network (TV) and the JioHotstar App (Live Stream)
- Bangladesh: Gazi TV (GTV), T Sports, and the Rabbitholebd App
- UAE & MENA: CricLife channels via the Starzplay App
- Pakistan: There is officially no live television broadcast or streaming available for the IPL in Pakistan.
- USA: Willow TV
- South Africa: SuperSport
- England (UK): Sky Sports Cricket and the Sky Go App
- Australia: Fox Sports and Kayo Sports
- New Zealand: Sky Sport NZ
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbsports.com.
PBKS vs RR Team Previews
Punjab Kings
The Punjab Kings are enjoying an incredible season. They remain entirely undefeated after playing seven matches, sitting comfortably at the absolute top of the table. Prabhsimran Singh and Priyansh Arya have formed a terrifying opening pair, recently bludgeoning 126 runs in just over six overs against Delhi. Captain Shreyas Iyer has also led from the front with four half-centuries in six innings.
However, despite their unbeaten streak, Punjab has a glaring weakness that is waiting to be exposed: their bowling. The Punjab Kings have conceded 195 or more runs in five different games, with all their main bowlers leaking over nine runs per over. Arshdeep Singh leads the attack with seven wickets, while star spinner Yuzvendra Chahal has struggled to find his rhythm, managing only four wickets.
If Punjab's top order finally has an off day against a world-class pace attack, their expensive bowling unit will be placed under massive pressure to save the game.
Punjab Kings Expected Playing 11
Prabhsimran Singh (wk), Priyansh Arya, Shreyas Iyer (c), Cooper Connolly, Marcus Stoinis, Marco Jansen, Shashank Singh, Xavier Bartlett, Arshdeep Singh, Yuzvendra Chahal, Vijaykumar Vyshak
Impact Player: Nehal Wadhera / Harpreet Brar
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Rajasthan Royals
The Rajasthan Royals exploded out of the gates with a rollicking start to their campaign, but their form has dipped recently with three losses in their last four games. Despite slipping to third place, they have the exact tools needed to pull off a massive upset here.
Rajasthan's batting is in fantastic shape to punish Punjab's leaky bowlers. Vaibhav Sooryavanshi and Yashasvi Jaiswal remain the key pillars of the top order. Sooryavanshi is in spectacular form, recently smashing a breathtaking century, while Dhruv Jurel has compiled three half-centuries in his last seven innings. Middle-order finishers Riyan Parag and Shimron Hetmyer are struggling but don't count them out just yet.
The biggest factor in this match will be Rajasthan's fast bowling. Jofra Archer has been spectacular with the new ball, claiming 13 wickets. Alongside Nandre Burger, this duo provides extreme pace, aggression, and bounce. They are exactly the kind of bowlers who can make life miserable for Punjab's high-flying openers.
If Archer and Burger strike early, they can completely derail the Punjab innings. Meanwhile, the spin duo of Ravi Bishnoi and Ravindra Jadeja will keep things tight in the middle overs, having already picked up a combined 17 wickets.
Rajasthan Royals Expected Playing 11
Vaibhav Sooryavanshi, Yashasvi Jaiswal, Dhruv Jurel (wk), Riyan Parag (c), Shimron Hetmeyer, Donovan Ferreira, Ravindra Jadeja, Jofra Archer, Tushar Deshpande, Nandre Burger, Ravi Bishnoi
Impact Player: Brijesh Sharma / Sandeep Sharma
PBKS vs RR Toss Prediction
In all three matches played at the Mullanpur Stadium this season, the captain winning the toss has elected to field first. We firmly expect this trend to continue, with the toss winner looking to chase on a highly favorable batting surface under the lights.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The pitch at the Mullanpur Stadium is an absolute batting paradise. The average first-innings score across the three matches played here this season sits at a massive 213 runs. The surface features an even covering of green grass, and because the venue hasn’t hosted a game in over a week, fans should expect a fresh, hard wicket.
This fresh pitch will offer some early swing and bounce for the fast bowlers—which perfectly suits Jofra Archer and Nandre Burger with the new ball. However, once batters survive the initial spell, they will find timing the ball incredibly easy.
The weather in Chandigarh is expected to remain cloudy but completely dry, with comfortable temperatures sitting just under 30 degrees Celsius.
PBKS vs RR : Who Will Win?
While the Punjab Kings are undefeated and sit at the top of the table, we are backing the Rajasthan Royals to pull off the upset. The odds on offer make this a risk worth taking. Importantly, Rajasthan possesses the ultimate weapon to stop Punjab: extreme pace. The fiery opening spells of Jofra Archer and Nandre Burger are exactly what is needed to finally crack the PBKS top order. Back the Royals to hand Punjab their first defeat of the season.
Bet on Rajasthan Royals to win.

