ST vs HH Match Prediction : 21st Match, Big Bash League, 2025-2026
ST vs HH Win Probability
13%
Sydney Thunder
87%
Hobart Hurricanes
Hobart Hurricanes To Win, 1.65
The Hurricanes have absolutely owned this fixture recently, bossing the Thunder in five consecutive matchups.
While the Thunder sits at the bottom of the table with a fragile middle order, Hobart is trending upward and building cohesion.
The Thunder bowlers will be reeling after leaking 200 runs against Perth, leaving them vulnerable to Hobart's aggressive lineup.
ST vs HH Betting Tips
Sydney Thunder not to hit a boundary four in the first over of the innings
The Thunder openers are under immense pressure following a fragile batting display against the Scorchers where they folded in under 18 overs. Confidence is low, and they failed to find the rope in the opening over of their last game. At odds of 2.34, betting on a cautious start—where survival is prioritized over aggression—offers exceptional value.
The best result of the first partnership to be from Hobart Hurricanes
Mitchell Owen is a destructive force at the top of the order, famously smashing a century against this very opponent in last year’s final. With the Thunder's top order looking shaky and Hobart's openers possessing the power to clear the ropes early, backing the Hurricanes to win the opening stand battle is a smart play.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Sydney Thunder
Hobart Hurricanes
The Sydney Thunder find themselves anchored to the bottom of the points table, struggling for rhythm. In contrast, the Hobart Hurricanes are finding their groove as the season progresses. Given the current trajectories and historical dominance, the value lies firmly with an away win for Hobart.
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Sydney Thunder vs Hobart Hurricanes Head-to-Head Record
This rivalry has been one-sided of late. The Hobart Hurricanes have won five matches on the bounce against the Sydney Thunder. Most significantly, the Hurricanes defeated the Thunder in last season’s final, giving them a massive psychological edge.
Sydney Thunder vs Hobart Hurricanes Live-streaming and Broadcast
In Australia, the Big Bash League is broadcast on Channel 7 and Fox Cricket, with live streaming options available through Kayo Sports, Foxtel Go, and 7plus.
For viewers in the Indian subcontinent, coverage in India is available on the Star Sports Network and streamed via Disney+ Hotstar. Fans in Pakistan can watch the matches on PTV Sports and Ten Sports, while those in Bangladesh can also tune in via the Star Sports Network feeds.
In the United Kingdom, Sky Sports Cricket holds the exclusive broadcast rights, allowing fans to stream the action live on Sky Go and NOW.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbsports.com.
ST vs HH Team Previews
Sydney Thunder
The Thunder need a spark, and it must come from captain David Warner. While young talents Matthew Gilkes and Sam Konstas bring aggression to the powerplay, the team cannot afford to let opponents off the hook. In their previous loss to the Scorchers, they had Perth at 34/3 but failed to capitalize, eventually conceding over 200 runs.
The batting collapse in that match was a stark warning. Despite a strong start to the chase, the middle order of Cameron Bancroft, Sam Billings, Shadab Khan, and Chris Green combined for a meager 11 runs. They must show more ruthlessness for the full 40 overs.
Death bowling remains a critical issue. Pacers Daniel Sams, Nathan McAndrew, and Reece Topley need better execution when fielding restrictions are lifted. Sams may have taken 4 wickets last game, but leaking over 50 runs in his spell is unsustainable for a winning side.
Sydney Thunder Expected Playing 11
David Warner (c), Matthew Gilkes, Sam Konstas, Cameron Bancroft, Sam Billings (wk), Daniel Sams, Shadab Khan, Chris Green, Nathan McAndrew, Tanveer Sangha, Reece Topley.
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Hobart Hurricanes
The Hurricanes faced a tough test against the Scorchers but showed plenty of fight. They were ultimately undone by a two-man show from Mitchell Marsh and Aaron Hardie, a scenario unlikely to be repeated by the struggling Thunder lineup.
There were positive signs with the bat: Tim Ward (27) provided a solid platform, while Nikhil Chaudhary and Matthew Wade added valuable late runs to reach a respectable 189/9. Against a weaker Thunder attack, that batting depth could be lethal.
The bowling unit needs to tighten up. Only Nathan Ellis and Mitchell Owen managed to take wickets last time out. However, spinners Rishad Hossain and Rehan Ahmed were relatively economical given the high-scoring nature of the game. Small improvements in discipline should be enough to see them home against a low-confidence Thunder side.
Hobart Hurricanes Expected Playing 11
Mitchell Owen, Tim Ward, Mac Wright, Ben McDermott, Nikhil Chaudhary, Matthew Wade (wk), Rehan Ahmed, Chris Jordan, Nathan Ellis (c), Rishad Hossain, Riley Meredith.
ST vs HH Toss Prediction
The Hobart Hurricanes’ recent dominance over the Thunder has been built on successful chases. having won their last 5 matches against Sydney when batting second, expect the captain winning the toss to bowl first without hesitation.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The Sydney Showground Stadium typically plays slower than other Australian decks. A total of 150 is often competitive batting first, while anything above 160 exerts genuine scoreboard pressure. Pacers will need to rely on cutters and variations once the ball softens, while spinners must exploit the ground dimensions.
Weather: Conditions will be warm and humid with cloud cover. Rain probability is low (10%), so we expect a full, uninterrupted contest.
ST vs HH: Who Will Win?
The Hobart Hurricanes are poised to capitalize on the Sydney Thunder's wretched run of form. While home advantage usually counts for something, the Hurricanes have been phenomenal against the Thunder both home and away. The Thunder's fragile middle order and expensive bowling make them hard to back.
Bet on Hobart Hurricanes to win.
