HH vs MS Match Prediction : Knockout, Big Bash League, 2025-2026
HH vs MS Win Probability
53%
Hobart Hurricanes
47%
Melbourne Stars
Hobart Hurricanes To Win, 1.70
Hobart’s bowling attack, led by Nathan Ellis and Riley Meredith, is well suited to Bellerive Oval’s seam-friendly conditions, especially under cloud cover.
Recent performances from Ben McDermott and Beau Webster show Hobart’s top and middle order can absorb pressure and build innings, whereas Melbourne Stars have suffered collapses in high-stakes matches, including being bowled out for 130 in their last game.
Both teams have proven match winners but we think the overall balance of the Hobart Hurricanes is superior.
HH vs MS Betting Tips
Highest individual score to be over 60.5 runs
Despite recent low-scoring games, Bellerive Oval has generally allowed top-order batters to build meaningful innings once they get through the new-ball phase. Ben McDermott’s 59 and Beau Webster’s 51 in the last match showed that substantial scores are achievable even under pressure. With players like McDermott, Marcus Stoinis, and Glenn Maxwell capable of anchoring or accelerating, a 60+ individual score is well within reach.
Total match runs to be under 320.5
Rain interruptions, possible reduced overs, and the knockout nature of the contest point towards a more cautious approach from both teams. Hobart’s recent match saw just 317 runs across 40 overs, while Melbourne Stars were bundled out for 130 in their last outing. With seam-friendly conditions expected and pressure high, the under on total runs looks like a strong value option.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Hobart Hurricanes
Melbourne Stars
Neither side comes in with dominant momentum, but Hobart’s no-result and home scheduling keep them slightly better placed heading into this knockout. This is a game where pressure will play a huge role! There is no room for mistakes and that can change the way players end up executing their skills. Plenty of value for bettors to look for as well.
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Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Stars Head-to-Head Record
The recent head-to-head record is evenly balanced, with Melbourne Stars winning three of the last five encounters and Hobart Hurricanes winning two. However, several of these matches were tightly contested, including low-margin victories and a DLS-affected result, underlining how evenly matched these sides tend to be.
Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Stars Live-streaming and Broadcast
In Australia, the Big Bash League is broadcast on Channel 7 and Fox Cricket, with live streaming options available through Kayo Sports, Foxtel Go, and 7plus.
For viewers in the Indian subcontinent, coverage in India is available on the Star Sports Network and streamed via Disney+ Hotstar. Fans in Pakistan can watch the matches on PTV Sports and Ten Sports, while those in Bangladesh can also tune in via the Star Sports Network feeds.
In the United Kingdom, Sky Sports Cricket holds the exclusive broadcast rights, allowing fans to stream the action live on Sky Go and NOW.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.
HH vs MS Team Previews
Hobart Hurricanes
Hobart Hurricanes enter the Knockout after a narrow three-run defeat to Brisbane Heat, a match that exposed both their strengths and vulnerabilities. Ben McDermott and Beau Webster put together a strong platform, scoring 59 and 51 respectively, but the Hurricanes lost momentum after their dismissals and fell just short in the chase.
Bowling remains their biggest asset at home. Nathan Ellis continues to lead smartly, supported by Riley Meredith’s pace and the variety offered by Rishad Hossain and Rehan Ahmed.
Hobart’s familiarity with Bellerive Oval conditions, combined with the advantage of qualifying in the event of a washout, makes them a very dangerous opponent in this knockout scenario.
Hobart Hurricanes Expected Playing 11
Tim Ward, Mitchell Owen, Beau Webster, Ben McDermott, Nikhil Chaudhary, Matthew Wade (wk), Chris Jordan, Rehan Ahmed, Nathan Ellis (c), Riley Meredith, Rishad Hossain
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Melbourne Stars
Melbourne Stars come into the Knockout after a disappointing loss to Perth Scorchers, where they were bowled out for just 130. Apart from Marcus Stoinis’ fighting 55, the batting lineup struggled badly against high-quality pace, raising concerns ahead of another pressure fixture.
The Stars still possess match-winners capable of turning the game quickly. Glenn Maxwell’s all-round ability and Stoinis’ power in the middle overs remain key, while their bowling attack can be effective if they strike early.
However, inconsistency at the top of the order and recent collapses mean Melbourne need a near-perfect performance to stay alive in the tournament.
Melbourne Stars Expected Playing 11
Thomas Rogers, Sam Harper (wk), Joe Clarke, Marcus Stoinis (c), Glenn Maxwell, Hilton Cartwright, Tom Curran, Mitchell Swepson, Haris Rauf, Peter Siddle, Campbell Kellaway
HH vs MS Toss Prediction
With rain in the forecast, captains are likely to bowl first if conditions allow. Chasing provides flexibility in shortened games, and Bellerive Oval has historically offered slightly better batting conditions under lights once the ball softens.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
Bellerive Oval generally provides a balanced surface, offering movement for seamers early before becoming more batter-friendly. Cloud cover and potential rain are expected, which could assist swing bowling and lead to interruptions.
Duckworth–Lewis scenarios may come into play, increasing the importance of a strong powerplay.
HH vs MS: Who Will Win?
This Knockout is finely poised, but Hobart Hurricanes hold key advantages. Home conditions, slightly better recent consistency, and the crucial safety net of progressing in case of a washout all work in their favour. Melbourne Stars have the firepower to cause an upset, but their recent batting form under pressure is a concern.
Bet on Hobart Hurricanes to win.
